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Via The Cradle

Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei on Sunday strongly condemned the assassination of a Syrian Shia religious cleric, describing it as a terrorist attack and "heinous crime."

On Friday, Sayyid Farhan al-Mansour, Imam of the Sayyeda Zainab Shrine in the southern suburbs of Damascus, was assassinated after a hand grenade was thrown at his vehicle. Mansour was targeted by unknown assailants shortly after he finished leading Friday prayers and was leaving the shrine.

Baghaei said that acts of terrorism targeting religious sites and scholars in Syria and across West Asia are part of a broader plot by Israel and the US to create sectarian division and chaos in the region.

Baghaei called on all parties to remain vigilant, confront terrorism and extremism, and stressed the need to hold those responsible for the attack accountable. He further emphasized that Syria's transitional authorities are responsible for ensuring the safety of all citizens, including scholars and members of various ethnic and religious groups.

The Syrian Interior Ministry has said the assassination of a Shia cleric marks a "dangerous escalation," adding it is following with "great concern" what it described as "systematic" attempts in recent days to create instability, spread chaos, and undermine civil peace.

A source told Asharq al-Awsat that the cleric killed on Friday was "considered a partner of the government in reshaping the landscape of stability within the Shia community" in Syria, going as far as to claim that this role made him a target for cells linked to the "Iran axis," which, according to circles close to the Syrian government, are allegedly exploiting instability by recruiting local agents.

Since coming to power in December 2024, Syria's new government has established a religious state based on the extremist teachings of the medieval Sunni religious scholar Ibn Taymiyya. Ibn Taymiyya preached that Shia and Alawite Muslims and Druze are apostates who deserve to be killed and their property stolen.

Syria's new army, formed from the extremist Sunni armed factions supported by the foreign powers to topple Assad, has carried out multiple massacres against Syria's minority communities.

In March 2025, Syrian forces massacred at least 1,500 Alawite civilians in the country's coastal regions. In July 2025, Syrian and allied tribal forces massacred some 1,700 Druze in the Suwayda region of southern Syria.

?? Assassination of the Imam of Sayyida Zaynab Shrine in #Damascus

The cleric Sayyid Farhan al-Mansour, imam of the Sayyida Zaynab Shrine, has been assassinated after a hand grenade was thrown at his vehicle in the al-Fatimiyya area of Sayyida Zaynab city, south of Damascus,… pic.twitter.com/YYhpROeIjF

— Syria Justice Archive (@SyJusticeArc) May 1, 2026

During both massacres, Syrian fighters filmed many of their atrocities, including forcing Alawite men to crawl and bark like dogs before executing them en masse, and massacring entire families of Druze and Christians in their homes, and executing and beheading Druze men in the streets.

Syria's army is led by the country's new president, Ahmad al-Sharaa, a former ISIS commander who stated in an interview with Al-Jazeera in 2015 that Syria's Alawites should be killed unless they convert to Sunni Islam.

Authored by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse,

Americans were not even this stressed about their financial situations during the Great Recession. As you will see below, a brand new Gallup survey has discovered that 55 percent of Americans believe that their finances are getting worse. That is higher than any reading that Gallup recorded during the recession of 2008 and 2009, and it is higher than any reading that Gallup recorded during the pandemic. But of course this shouldn’t exactly be a surprise to any of us. We have been in a historic cost of living crisis since 2020, and our standard of living has been steadily deteriorating as the purchasing power of our money has gone down.

If you are making the same amount of money as you did at the beginning of this decade, you are in far worse shape financially today.

That is just the reality of the time that we are living in.

The cost of just about everything has been going up and up and up.

As a result, people are more concerned about the economy than anything else.

According to Gallup, the percentage of Americans that believe that their finances are getting worse has been rising for five years in a row and is now at the highest level ever recorded…

Americans’ financial outlook in 2026 is also historically poor, with a record 55% now saying their financial situation is getting worse. While similar to last year’s 53%, this is up from 47% in 2024 and marks the fifth consecutive year more Americans say their finances are worsening rather than improving.

The only similar multiyear period when the larger share felt their financial situation was worsening was during the Great Recession.

At this stage, there is no denying the trend that we are witnessing.

Gallup found that Americans are particularly concerned about monthly bills, healthcare and retirement…

Majorities worry about not having enough money for retirement (62%) and being unable to cover medical costs in the event of a serious accident or illness (60%). Slightly smaller majorities (54% each) worry about their investment returns and maintaining their standard of living.

Nearly half are concerned about routine healthcare costs (48%), while 41% worry about paying their normal monthly bills and 40% about affording college. Fewer worry about housing costs (35%) or making minimum credit card payments (28%).

Living paycheck to paycheck is not fun at all.

Many of you know exactly what I am talking about.

Today, much of the country is just one major setback away from financial ruin…

According to a recent national survey, a little over $6,000 in additional debt is all it takes to push a family over the edge. Six thousand dollars. The cost of a half-decent secondhand car. A modest kitchen renovation. In the country that put a man on the moon, mapped the human genome, won two world wars, and produces more billionaires per capita than anywhere on earth, that’s the cliff edge.

The old vocabulary no longer fits. The conservative catechism of thrift, discipline, and delayed gratification has aged poorly in light of the evidence. Tariffs, as the survey notes, rippled through supply chains and left a sizeable dent in consumers’ pockets. Health care waits in the background, capable of dismantling a decade of careful saving with a single bad diagnosis. American households have always lived under financial pressure. The difference now is the direction — or rather, the directions. It is coming from everywhere at once, which is what makes it almost impossible to outrun.

The middle class is being systematically eviscerated all around us.

It is a national crisis that just keeps intensifying year after year.

As finances have gotten tighter and tighter, millions upon millions of Americans have fundamentally changed their behavior…

The response has been behavioral rather than political, which is another way of saying people have given up waiting for someone to fix it. Nights out get canceled. Rent falls behind. Medical appointments get postponed and rarely rescheduled. None of this is irrational. When survival takes priority, everything else enters a waiting room with no clear appointment time. What makes it particularly disturbing is that financial distress doesn’t stay financial. It moves through relationships and communities, rearranging what people believe is possible for themselves.

Some will call it hyperbolic to suggest the American Dream is dead. Perhaps. But a dream balanced on a six-thousand-dollar ledge, in a stiff wind, is not exactly thriving. With energy prices soaring and the probability of a recession climbing with every new data release, the wind is picking up.

What about you?

Have you found yourself changing your spending behavior in recent years in an attempt to save money?

If so, there are countless others that are in the exact same shoes.

Unfortunately, the outlook for the months ahead is not promising at all.

On Tuesday, the average price of a gallon of gasoline in the United States rose to the highest level that we have seen since the war with Iran began…

Gas prices climbed Tuesday to their highest level since the Iran conflict began.

The national average for a gallon of regular hit $4.18, up 15 cents from a week earlier and about $1 higher than a year ago, according to AAA.

As energy prices rise, it is going to affect the cost of everything else too.

Meanwhile, the government just continues to tax us into oblivion.

As I have detailed in other articles, each year Americans are hit with literally dozens of different taxes and fees.

When you add all of them together, some Americans end up paying more than 50 percent of their incomes in taxes and fees.

In fact, Bill Maher is claiming that he pays about 60 percent of his income in taxes and fees…

Even for liberal HBO host Bill Maher, the math behind Tax Day no longer adds up.

Maher took to his platform on “Real Time” to sound the alarm on a staggering personal tax burden that he says claims the majority of his earnings, sparking a wider debate on whether the American government is simply “incompetent and corrupt” despite a $5 trillion revenue stream.

“Last week was Tax Day… I paid to the government, if you add in state tax, local, sales, property, fees, Obamacare, probably almost 60% of what I earn. That’s a lot,” Maher said on a recent episode.

If you have to hand over more than half of what you earn to the government, you are no longer living in a capitalist system.

Some people out there don’t seem to have figured that out yet.

In this environment, you should be thankful if you still have an income coming in, because we continue to see mass layoffs all over the nation.

For example, Nike just announced yet another round of layoffs…

Nike announced a new round of layoffs Thursday affecting approximately 1,400 employees across the organization, mostly concentrated in its technology department.

In a note from COO Venkatesh Alagirisamy, the company said the layoffs were part of Nike’s broader “Win Now” turnaround strategy aiming to reshape its technology team, modernize its Air manufacturing, move some of its Converse Footwear operations and integrate its materials supply chain work into its footwear and apparel supply chain teams.

Our economy is coming apart at the seams all around us.

And now the crisis in the Middle East threatens to plunge the entire global system into an extended downturn.

We really are facing a nightmare scenario, and it won’t be too long before that is completely and utterly obvious to everyone.

Michael’s new book entitled “10 Prophetic Events That Are Coming Next” is available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.com, and you can subscribe to his Substack newsletter at michaeltsnyder.substack.com.

Many people are familiar with the "blue state exodus" over the past several years, but are they aware of the blue city business exodus? 

It might be one of the biggest economic stories in modern US history, and Democrats are trying to keep it as quiet as possible.  There is a blood letting going on in blue cities; a financial disaster in the making.  And, like most financial disasters, it will probably be ignored until the house of cards comes crashing down completely. 

For this examination let's look at three very different examples, all facing similar crises.  We start in New York City, where taxes have been consistently increased in order to offset the loss of billions in public revenues due to citizens leaving.  NYC has experienced a net loss of around 220,000 residents since 2021, but it's not the number of residents that is most important.  Rather, it is the wealth of those residents that matters.

In the past two years alone, NYC has lost around 6000 businesses to closure or relocation, and the region is suffering from significant wealth decline.  These losses represent tens of billions of dollars in tax revenues, erased from NYC coffers.  And what did New Yorkers do?  They elected Zohran Mamdani, doubling down on the far-left policies that caused the crisis in the first place. 

Today, Mamdani is launching his much hyped "wealth tax" with the intention of funding the many socialist programs he promised to implement during his campaign.  Sadly for the new Mayor, he is only now starting to realize that the more he taxes successful residents the more they will simply leave. 

Companies including Apollo Management, JP Morgan Chase, ARK Investment, Wells Fargo and Citadel are all establishing primary corporate offices in Texas and Florida with rumors swirling that many other corporations are planning to leave NYC entirely.  While Democrats deny this is a threat, the real test will be the wealth tax - Companies have been waiting to see if Mamdani will actually be stupid enough to follow through, and yes, we now know he is.

A microcosm of the blue city taxation problem is readily available in Seattle, where the business exodus is crushing city revenues and expanding the debt crisis. 

Washington State has one of the higher business failure rates nationally. Surveys show rising concern, with 17% of businesses considering leaving the state (up from 9% in 2025) due to taxes, costs, and regulations. Small businesses report worse conditions than during the pandemic peak.   

Seattle is leading the way, with a net loss of 13,000 jobs in 2025 in the downtown area alone.  Multiple corporation have reduced their footprint and moved HQ in recent years, including Amazon and Starbucks.  Coffee giant Starbucks, which got its start in Seattle, is now leaving.  They have recently announced a new corporate office in Nashville, TN and it is likely that they will relocate out of WA in the near future.

Voters in Seattle also elected a far-left activist mayor, Katie Wilson, who famously claimed she was going to "Trump-proof" Seattle.  She currently faces a budget crisis with a projected $250 million shortfall and tax revenues in decline.  Wilson (as of early 2026) directed departments to prepare 5% to10% budget cut plans for 2027.  Like Mamdani, she is also calling for her own brand of "wealth tax" as a means to cover deficits; this will only cause more businesses to leave the area.

Finally, we get to the most Democrat of all blue cities, Hollywood.  Tinsel Town is experiencing mass layoffs from Paramount, Warner Bros., Discovery, CNN, Disney, Sony, Bad Robot, etc.  Tens-of-thousands of jobs are on the chopping block going into 2027.  Productions plummeted by 16% in 2025 alone. 

In the case of Hollywood, tax incentives have actually been increased and the film industry is being protected by California, but it does not seem to matter.  The leftist hives in the greater Los Angeles area committed suicide by ideology, refusing to listen to the public and hammering the US with woke propaganda at the behest of Democrats.  

By extension, DEI initiatives have driven out top talent and replaced creative workhorses with mediocre minds in order to increase minority representation.  Hollywood apologists argue that "tech and AI" is the cause of their distress, but just like Seattle and New York, Hollywood's misery is of their own making.  

Recent efforts to save the industry by catering to what audiences actually want might be too little to late.  Insiders are suggesting that people seeking jobs in film and TV will have to search outside Hollywood.  Like most blue towns, the economy is dying.     

Elon Musk’s business empire is becoming increasingly intertwined — and if SpaceX eventually goes public, Wall Street will likely take a much harder look at how money moves across his companies.

A newly disclosed filing shows Tesla booked more than $570 million last year from transactions with Musk-controlled companies, according to Insider. That included roughly $430 million from selling Megapack battery systems to xAI and another $143 million — primarily vehicle sales — to SpaceX. Some of those purchases included Cybertrucks, which have reportedly become a significant part of SpaceX’s vehicle fleet.

The relationship goes both ways. Insider writes that Tesla also disclosed that it put $2 billion into SpaceX and xAI last year and paid the companies a combined $15 million+ for various commercial and consulting services.

Taken together, the filings offer a clearer picture of how frequently Musk’s companies now rely on one another. xAI has been absorbed into SpaceX, engineers from Tesla have previously worked on projects at X, Grok is being built into Tesla products, and Musk has publicly discussed future collaboration between Tesla and SpaceX on the Roadster.

George Orwell's prognostications about the future of authoritarianism have proven consistently accurate.  They have only been limited by his inability to foresee the creation of certain technologies which make the future look even more bleak.  The reason his books, like 1984 and Animal Farm, are considered classics of literature is because they are timeless. 

Their warnings and messages still apply today and will probably apply centuries from now. 

Animal Farm, first published in 1945, is a tale specifically written as an allegory for the Bolshevik Revolution and the rise of Soviet Communism.  Despite the characters being talking animals, the themes are dark and disturbing.  It is a story about the naivety of the "underclass", the exploitation of the "have-nots" by communists seeking to use gullible people as weapons against their "imperialist" and capitalist enemies. 

It is a grotesque tragedy composed like a children's novel, which makes it all the more effective.  It destroys the notion of "equity" and exposes the truth:  There is no such thing as a socialist Utopia, there can only ever be socialist dystopia.  And to get it, leftists are happy to sacrifice you and everything you love.  Not only that, but they expect you to applaud them for it.

The message is made iconic in the book's famous phrase:  "All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others..."

This is the epitome of woke ideology and how progressives behave today.  It's no surprise that Hollywood is incapable of telling this story properly.  In order to do that, they would have to put their own warped beliefs under a microscope, and that's simply not going to happen.  

The new animated adaptation of Animal Farm is being billed as a kid-friendly foray into concepts of "authoritarianism"; but it perverts Orwell's message about communism and demonizes capitalism instead.  

Audiences across the board are not happy.  The movie is distributed by Angel Studios, which bills itself as a Christian and conservative leaning company.  However, the makers of the film (director Andy Serkis and The Imaginarium Studios) are entirely left wing.  Given the people involved, Angel Studios should have know what kind of disaster they would have on their hands.

Andy Serkis is a former member of the Socialist Workers Party, a Troskyist Group in England in the 1990s.  Though he is no longer involved, he still considers himself left wing, and his exit from political provocation was largely because of conflicts with his acting career.  Enlisting a hardcore socialist to direct Animal Farm feels like a deliberate middle finger to conservatives who see the story as a cautionary battle cry against leftist movements. 

The film was even released on May Day (International Workers Day), which is a communist holiday.

In developing the film as far back as 2013, Serkis (still riding the high of his successful role as "Gollum" in the Lord Of The Rings movies) admitted that he had no intention of sticking to the critique of communism.  Rather, he believed that if Orwell wrote Animal Farm today, he would obviously compose a takedown of capitalism. 

“First and foremost, we are not making a film about Communism and Stalinism because if Orwell was writing the story today, he would be talking about other relevant topics like globalisation and corporate greed...”

In other words, Andy Serkis, like most communists, wants to rewrite history in favor of his ideology. 

This is exactly what he did in the new Angel Studios film.  Many of the characters from the book are the same, and some of the plot points remain.  The animals revolt against the farmers and seek to build their Utopia of fairness.  But, the pigs (who represent the communist manipulators in the book) are not evil in the film.  Rather, they are corrupted into doing bad things by a new character - Ruthless billionaire Frieda Pilkington and her corporation.

Frieda is the typical evil rich white person common in leftist mythology.  Some critics have argued that the character looks strikingly similar to Elon Musk's mother, May Musk, and she even drives a vehicle that looks like a pink Cybertruck. 

Rather than the pigs being conniving and malicious from the beginning, Frieda corrupts them into evil with the promise of riches.  Her plan is to use the pigs as a means to get control of the farm.  In the end, the animals realize their mistake and their solution is yet another communist revolution. 

The message being, communism only goes wrong when evil capitalists influence the outcome.  Collectivist ideology is inherently good.  Leftists are not psychotic ideologues thirsting for power and control.  They are just led astray sometimes.   

There are numerous hatchet job films denigrating capitalism out of Hollywood.  There are few if any that explore the nightmares of communism and left-wing collectivism.  Orwell's Animal Farm is one of the few stories that captures the insidious nature of "equity" and suicidal empathy that permeate communist societies.  It is about the tools that communists use to lead the population astray, not about capitalism leading communists astray.  

Even worse is the marketing strategy of Angel Studios, which has tapped into the pockets of conservative and libertarian influencers (including Tucker Carlson) to sell the movie.  It is likely that most of these influencers never watched the film before they promoted it, and if they did, it might be time to question their motives. 

Critics and audiences alike have given Animal Farm a thunderous thumbs down.  Angel Studios is the same company that put Sound Of Freedom in theaters; a movie which was relentlessly (and suspiciously) attacked by the political left for putting a spotlight on child trafficking and pedophile rings.  It is unfortunate that they made placed this project in the hands of the same left wing community that tried to tear them down only a couple years ago.   

Submitted by QTR's Fringe Finance

“This time it’s different” is supposed to be the dumbest phrase in investing.

It’s the phrase people use right before they get obliterated. It was the rallying cry of dot-com lunatics buying companies with no revenue in 1999. It was the intellectual foundation of housing perma-bulls in 2006 who believed home prices could only go up because, apparently, Americans had collectively decided real estate was immune mathematical reality.

It’s typically what people say when they’re trying to justify paying absurd prices for dogshit assets while pretending the laws of valuation have been permanently repealed: “this time it’s different”.

Which is why it’s deeply annoying and borderline humiliating for me to admit that this time, it actually may be different.

As someone who has spent years living in the world of fundamentals, valuation discipline, and the radical idea that cash flows should matter at least a little when valuing businesses, I hate where the evidence keeps leading me. I’ve spent years mocking the market as distorted.

Everyone in Austrian economics circles loves that word: distorted. Markets are distorted by central banks, distorted by artificially low interest rates, distorted by endless intervention. Distorted, distorted, distorted. Fine. But at some point, if a distortion lasts long enough, survives every crisis, and becomes embedded in how markets function, is it still a distortion? Or is it just the market now?

Look at this chart of the NASDAQ tripling off Covid lows just 5 years ago before you answer. An index. Tripling.

And in ten years, the index (read it again, index) is up 534%.

And now, back to the question: “if a distortion lasts long enough, survives every crisis, and becomes embedded in how markets function, is it still a distortion?”

That’s the uncomfortable question fundamental investors increasingly refuse to confront. We continue dragging out valuation charts that go back to 1900 as if they’re sacred scripture. We point to historical average P/E ratios and the Buffett Indicator and say things like “the market has always reverted.”

I’ve said such things on this blog for years.

But the market that existed in (throw a dart) 1952 has almost nothing in common with the one we have today. Back then there were no ETFs mechanically absorbing retirement contributions every two weeks regardless of valuation. There was no passive investing machine blindly funneling trillions into the largest companies simply because they’re already the largest companies. There were no options markets large enough to create absurd gamma-driven price movements detached from fundamentals. There were no retail armies weaponizing leverage from their phones while posting rocket ship emojis.

And there sure as hell was no widely accepted assumption that if markets fall hard enough (3%, give or take a percent?), the Federal Reserve will eventually arrive with fresh liquidity and soothing words about financial stability.

For fifteen years, investors have been trained like goddamn lab rats to expect intervention whenever things get ugly enough. In 2008, the financial system nearly collapsed and the response was unprecedented monetary intervention. In 2020, the world shut down and trillions appeared almost overnight. Every time markets experience genuine pain, policymakers magically “discover” yet another reason why extraordinary intervention is necessary.

The lab rats participating in this market have learned a very simple lesson: the adults will not tolerate prolonged asset deflation. They may talk tough about inflation. They may posture about financial discipline. But when enough things start breaking, they fold. They always fold.

Markets now operate with the deeply embedded belief that liquidity will always return when things get sufficiently bad. That belief alone changes behavior. It encourages risk-taking. It compresses risk premiums. It makes traditional valuation frameworks feel increasingly obsolete because those frameworks were built during periods when markets still had to fully purge excesses. Today, excesses are often interrupted, softened, or reflated before true cleansing can occur.

Meanwhile, people love pretending the stock market’s relentless rise is purely a reflection of corporate innovation and productivity gains. Some of it absolutely is. But a meaningful portion of what investors celebrate as “wealth creation” is simply the declining purchasing power of the currency in which those assets are priced. If you continually debase the measuring stick, asset prices are going to look fantastic. Stocks haven’t always become more valuable. Dollars have become less valuable.

If your denominator is quietly melting, your numerator tends to look heroic. It can even make the performance of an ex-bartender from Philadelphia writing a finance blog look great.

This forces an almost heretical conclusion I’ve been toying with for a year or two: maybe what we consider “expensive” is anchored to a market regime that no longer exists. Maybe 20x earnings is not expensive anymore because 20 years of future earnings are guaranteed in a way they weren’t 50 years ago. Maybe for dominant, cash-generating businesses, 20x is the new bargain bin. Maybe historical comparisons to decades that lacked passive flows, algorithmic trading, derivatives-fueled volatility, trillion-dollar buybacks, and perpetual monetary intervention are becoming less useful by the year.

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I can already hear the response. Shit like “this article really must mean the top is in” and “QTR has caved, we can crash now!” Look, of course valuation still matters. Gravity still exists too. But if central banks keep dropping trampolines underneath the market every time gravity starts doing its job, people should stop acting shocked when assets bounce higher than historical models suggest they should.

This doesn’t mean crashes disappear. Something will absolutely break eventually, and probably the moves lower will be sharper and faster, before they aren’t, because that’s what leveraged systems do. But each break seems to justify larger interventions, which creates even bigger distortions, which produce even larger asset bubbles, which eventually require even more intervention. It’s a magnificent ouroboros of financial engineering and moral hazard.

And that’s the truly infuriating part for people like me. I want old valuation frameworks to still work cleanly. I want patient fundamental analysis to feel like an advantage rather than a history hobby. I want “cheap” and “expensive” to retain actual meaning. But markets increasingly feel like they’re operating under a new regime where liquidity overwhelms nearly everything else over long enough time horizons.

“This time it’s different” remains a dangerous phrase because human beings are still perfectly capable of creating idiotic bubbles. But pretending this market functions like the one our grandparents invested in may be its own form of delusion.

If the Fed has effectively made permanent distortion the foundation of modern markets—and if it cannot stop until something truly catastrophic breaks—then maybe we need to admit the obvious: the market is no longer broken. It’s functioning exactly as designed: rigged.

But of course, now that I’ve penned and published this piece, a medieval-style return to the investing dark ages is probably right around the corner.

Now read:

• Congrats, Elizabeth Warren, On The Death Of Spirit Airlines
• Buying One Staple Stock That's Been Crushed
• Stocks Now In “The Biggest Bubble Of Modern Times”
• Glowing Numbers...With Glaring Omissions

QTR’s Disclaimer: Please read my full legal disclaimer on my About page here. This post represents my opinions only. In addition, please understand I am an idiot and often get things wrong and lose money. I may own or transact in any names mentioned in this piece at any time without warning. Contributor posts and aggregated posts have been hand selected by me, have not been fact checked and are the opinions of their authors. They are either submitted to QTR by their author, reprinted under a Creative Commons license with my best effort to uphold what the license asks, or with the permission of the author.

This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any stocks or securities, just my opinions. I often lose money on positions I trade/invest in. I may add any name mentioned in this article and sell any name mentioned in this piece at any time, without further warning. None of this is a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I may or may not own names I write about and are watching. Sometimes I’m bullish without owning things, sometimes I’m bearish and do own things. Just assume my positions could be exactly the opposite of what you think they are just in case. If I’m long I could quickly be short and vice versa. I won’t update my positions. All positions can change immediately as soon as I publish this, with or without notice and at any point I can be long, short or neutral on any position. You are on your own. Do not make decisions based on my blog. I exist on the fringe. If you see numbers and calculations of any sort, assume they are wrong and double check them. I failed Algebra in 8th grade and topped off my high school math accolades by getting a D- in remedial Calculus my senior year, before becoming an English major in college so I could bullshit my way through things easier.

The publisher does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in this page. These are not the opinions of any of my employers, partners, or associates. I did my best to be honest about my disclosures but can’t guarantee I am right; I write these posts after a couple beers sometimes. I edit after my posts are published because I’m impatient and lazy, so if you see a typo, check back in a half hour. Also, I just straight up get shit wrong a lot. I mention it twice because it’s that important.