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Sat, 31 Oct 2026 03:25:00 +0000 US Puts NATO Allies On Notice To 'Tone Down' Anti-Russia Rhetoric
US Puts NATO Allies On Notice To 'Tone Down' Anti-Russia Rhetoric
US Puts NATO Allies On Notice To 'Tone Down' Anti-Russia Rhetoric
Via The Cradle
US officials have asked several NATO countries to "tone down their rhetoric" regarding the alleged threat posed by Russia, ?saying that recent statements by European leaders and officials have undermined the security of the continent, Reuters reported on Friday.
Citing three European officials and a US official familiar with the matter, the news agency wrote that Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia were delivered the messages in bilateral meetings .
via AFP/Getty Images
It is unclear if leaders and diplomats of other European nations received the same message.
Though the Baltic states are among the smallest NATO members, their leaders have taken some of the most hostile stances toward Russia since Moscow sent troops to invade Ukraine in 2022.
The US requests come amid negotiations between Washington and Moscow that would reportedly give Moscow relief from US sanctions in exchange for an end to Ukraine's attacks on Russian energy infrastructure, including oil refineries.
At the same time, US President Donald Trump's son-in-law and advisor Jared Kushner and US envoy Steve Witkoff have been discussing potential business deals with Russia under the pretext of peace negotiations. The Pentagon declined to comment on the Reuters report.
The US message came in response to comments claiming that “Russia is cornered” and resorting to “desperate measures” against Ukraine as Moscow's progress in the war has stalled, one of the sources said.
Pentagon policy chief Elbridge Colby was one of the US officials delivering the ?message. He reportedly told a Baltic official recently that ?there should be no “poking” the Russians .
In September, Estonian ?Prime Minister Kristen Michal referred to Russian President Vladimir Putin as a “rat in a corner” while claiming that he was resorting to sabotage campaigns in Europe to compensate for failures on the battlefield in Ukraine.
“We are helping you. The Americans are there,” stated another European official regarding Colby's message. “Just don't be loud . Don't make noise .”
Pentagon planners are reviewing US troop levels in Europe in a “process that could see a sharp drawdown in America's troop presence on the continent,” Reuters added.
US officials have said European NATO members need to assume more responsibility for supporting Ukraine in the war with Russia, allowing Washington to increase its focus on West Asia, Latin America, and East Asia. Meanwhile, Russia and Ukraine continue striking one another with missiles and drones.
Russia targeted Kiev with eight ballistic missiles and multiple drones overnight and in the morning on Thursday. The strikes killed one person and injured another in the Dniprovskyi district of the Ukrainian capital.
Meanwhile, Ukrainian drones struck the Novokuibyshevsk oil refinery in Russia's Samara Oblast Thursday morning, sparking a fire at the facility. Kiev's strikes on Russian energy infrastructure have not stopped despite Trump's requests that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky end them.
Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/30/2026 - 23:25
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Sat, 31 Oct 2026 03:00:00 +0000 "Operation Ghostbusters" Exposes Kenyan Student Loan Scam
"Operation Ghostbusters" Exposes Kenyan Student Loan Scam
The US Department of Justice has announced the first arrests in an ongoing investigation launched in April called "Operation Ghostbusters", and the results are not surprising
Read more.....
"Operation Ghostbusters" Exposes Kenyan Student Loan Scam
The US Department of Justice has announced the first arrests in an ongoing investigation launched in April called "Operation Ghostbusters", and the results are not surprising.
Assistant Attorney General Colin M. McDonald held a press conference this week detailing the discovery of a fraud pipeline exploiting US college loan programs. The underlying fraud relies on "ghost-student" schemes using stolen identities for FAFSA/aid, and has been ongoing since at least 2021.
The investigation that grew into Operation Ghostbusters was opened by the FBI’s Richmond Field Office after a referral from the Department of Education’s Office of Inspector General. According to the Justice Department, criminal actors allegedly stole or used personal information of U.S. citizens (often people who had never attended college) to create fraudulent FAFSA accounts.
The scammers enroll “ghost students” at colleges and universities as fake enrollees, often through online programs. Then, they apply for federal grants and loans and divert the aid to controlled bank accounts.
Five suspects have been arrested in a fraud that has operated since at least 2021. The DOJ has flagged roughly 830,840 potentially fake FSA IDs so far, though it is not yet clear how many such accounts are active vehicles for theft. The FBI is pursuing more than 40 open cases in 2026.
Officials estimate at least $200 million US tax dollars have been diverted through student loans for non-existent students.
Two Kenyan nationals (Francis Mogambi and an unnamed suspect in Virginia) have been identified in running the scheme, and they have both been living in the US since at least 2024. Officials believe they are part of a larger network of scammers based in Kenya, and they expect that these first arrests are just the beginning of an elaborate web of foreign fraud.
Stolen funds were frequently funneled overseas, predominantly to Kenya via U.S.-based “money mules” and crypto accounts. The countries of origin for the three money mules have not been released, but their names are Hispanic (Mabed Patricia Utate-Alberto, Patricia Arisleydi Perez and George Arturo Alfau Mendez).
Much like the Somali daycare scandal in Minneapolis, the "ghost student" arrests are likely just a taste of a far greater threat: Third world migrant fraud networks dug in like ticks across the US. This is why immigration is perhaps the single most important issue facing America and the west today. Third worlders view America as a pirate's paradise, a place to plunder wealth - They do not see America as a place to assimilate and build a new life.
Bureaucratic bloat and a lack of immigration controls have made the US a juicy target for fleecing. The Trump administration's efforts to address the problem are a good start, but it could take years of due diligence to undo the damage that has already been done.
Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/30/2026 - 23:00
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Sat, 31 Oct 2026 02:35:00 +0000 China Secures Massive Discount On Russian Gas As Moscow's Leverage Weakens
China Secures Massive Discount On Russian Gas As Moscow's Leverage Weakens
China Secures Massive Discount On Russian Gas As Moscow's Leverage Weakens
Authored by Eurasianet via OilPrice ,
Russian government projections show China paying approximately 56% less for Russian natural gas than other foreign customers outside the former Soviet Union in 2026. Chinese companies are advancing major copper, port infrastructure, energy, and technology initiatives across Central Asia. Beijing is strengthening its regional influence through investments, digital connectivity, and partnerships with Central Asian governments. Russia is giving China a huge discount on natural gas purchases, underscoring the Kremlin's fiscal dependency on Beijing . The Moscow Times (MT), citing Russian Duma documentation, shows that China will pay an average of approximately $248 per thousand cubic meters of pipeline gas in 2026, compared with $562 for Gazprom's other foreign customers outside the former Soviet Union.
That means Beijing is receiving as much as a 56 percent discount on its purchase price. The steep discount appears to be the cost of Beijing's ongoing political support for the Kremlin's war effort in Ukraine .
Given the Western sanctions regime and the European Union's efforts to reduce its reliance on Russian gas, China's purchases are a crucial source of funds needed to keep Russia's war machine going. Russia hopes to reduce the discounts in the coming years, according to the MT report. To put Russia's weak negotiating position into context, an estimate published by Carnegie's Russia Eurasia Center showed China is paying up to $60 per tcm more to Turkmenistan than the Russian purchase price .
Meanwhile, talks of creating a "Power of Siberia 2" pipeline have stalled over a pricing dispute, according to Beijing-connected media reports . "It's much harder for Russian negotiators today," Sergei Vakulenko, a senior fellow at Carnegie, wrote in the estimate. "On the one hand, the growing confrontation between the United States and China, and the instability in the Middle East, should push China into reducing LNG imports in favor of pipeline gas, which would likely be to Moscow's advantage," Vakulenko stated. "On the other hand, the break with Europe has left Gazprom with huge gas reserves in Siberia's Yamal Peninsula that are ready to be exploited but have no customers, significantly strengthening China's position."
Central Asia Chinese Premier Li Qiang traveled to Central Asia on October 17-19, visiting Uzbekistan and Tajikistan. The tour produced deals with both Uzbekistan and Tajikistan , including for a non-ferrous metallurgy industrial cluster in the Sughd region. For more about Li's visit, see this Eurasianet report .
China's Institute of East European, Russian, and Central Asian Studies (IREECAS), a major government think tank that informs Beijing's regional policymaking, co-organized a China-Central Asia forum in the Kyrgyz capital Bishkek for regional scholars and experts. The meeting focused on the "preparation of practical recommendations" for regional governments on a wide range of domestic and international policies. IREECAS also held a joint event with Uzbekistan's presidential think tank, ISRS , in Tashkent, focusing on government efforts to promote artificial intelligence and digital transformation. At the conclusion of the gathering, IREECAS and ISRS announced the signing of a program of joint events and initiatives for 2027. IREECAS's activities fit into China's growing push to exert influence on the direction of Central Asian states' domestic and international policymaking.
Kazakhstan Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev launched construction of a $1.8 billion copper smelter at the Aktogay deposit in Kazakhstan's Abai region . The project, developed by Kazakh mining company KAZ Minerals, with NFC, a subsidiary of China Nonferrous Metal Mining Group (CNMC), is designed to produce 300,000 tons of copper cathodes annually, alongside gold and sulfuric acid, and is expected to create more than 1,000 jobs. First production is scheduled for 2030. Tokayev separately met with CNMC Chairman Wen Gang , who pledged to complete construction on schedule and expand cooperation in workforce training. However, a Chinese corporate disclosure dated October 21 indicates that NFC's Kazakh entity has signed only a preparatory-work agreement, capped at 4.52 billion tenge (about $10 million), and that the full construction contract remains unsigned . KAZ Minerals and NFC also signed a memorandum of understanding on geological exploration and mineral-resource assessment in Kazakhstan, according to the official state news agency Kazinform. The companies plan to explore the use of remote sensing, geophysical and geochemical surveys, artificial intelligence, and three-dimensional geological modeling to reassess historical geological data and identify potential drilling sites. The memorandum also provides for possible specialist training, joint research, and educational programs, with a cooperation roadmap to be developed. No financial commitments, specific exploration sites, or implementation deadlines were disclosed.
Kazakhstan's national investment holding Baiterek JSC announced the signing of an MoU with the Chinese firm Guoyou Materials Group covering a $1 billion investment to develop the port of Kuryk , a major Middle Corridor hub on the Caspian Sea's Kazakh shore. The project's first phase envisions the creation of a multifunctional terminal with a capacity of 15 million tons of cargo per year.
Kazakhstan's Ministry of Water Resources and Irrigation reported that 25 Kazakh water-sector specialists are currently participating in training programs in China focused on irrigation modernization, water-saving technologies, digital water management, and small hydropower.
Kazakhstan's Committee for National Security (KNB) reported that it detained 13 Chinese nationals allegedly operating an international online fraud scheme out of Kazakhstan that targeted individuals in other countries. The KNB officials noted that they conducted their investigation jointly with China's Ministry of Public Security, which identified some suspects as wanted for similar offenses in China. All 13 suspects were transferred to Chinese custody to await prosecution.
Kazakhstan received observer status in the China-initiated Alliance for Cultural Heritage in Asia , according to Kazinform. Some observers see the organization as designed to advance state-led historical narratives and promote the strategic use of cultural heritage as a diplomatic tool. Kazakhstan proposed expanding cooperation in the sphere of specialist training, AI-assisted monitoring of cultural heritage sites and joint archaeological research along the Silk Road. No specific funding commitments or projects were announced.
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan's Chamber of Commerce and Industry held an economic conference in Tashkent with a delegation from the Chinese city of Shihezi in Xinjiang Province to discuss expanding bilateral cooperation, investment, and joint projects. The conference yielded several agreements covering logistics, construction, energy, and technology sectors. No details were immediately disclosed.
China is trying to take some energy-sector business away from Russia. The heads of Uzbekistan's largest state-run oil and gas company, Uzbekneftegaz, and China's largest oil and gas producer, CNPC, held talks in Tashkent to discuss expanding energy-sector cooperation. CNPC expressed readiness to help Uzbekneftegaz diversify petroleum product supplies and establish a permanent representative office in Tashkent. Russia has reduced its supply of oil-based products to Central Asian states in recent months, due to the destruction of energy infrastructure by Ukrainian drones.
Tajikistan Tajikistan's national telecom operator, Tajiktelecom, and the PRC's largest telecom operator, China Mobile, launched the Tajikistan-China International Digital Corridor , a fiber-optic line that runs 1,010 km from Dushanbe through Khorog to the Kulma Pass, where it joins China Mobile's 6,100 km network to Beijing , Tajik authorities report. The initial capacity is 1 Tbps, but it is expected to rise to 10 Tbps in the coming years. Tajikistan sees it as a step toward its ambition of becoming a hub of the Digital Silk Road and a leading regional AI player.
Tajikistan's Ministry of Energy and Water Resources signed an MoU with Xinjiang Shouhai Power Development, a Chinese energy company, to explore the hydropower potential of the Obihingou River, Tajikistan's official news agency Khovar reports. According to a Soviet-era assessment, the river has an estimated annual hydropower-generating capacity of 2.6 gigawatts.
Turkmenistan Ashgabat hosted a trade and economic forum involving companies from the PRC's Shanxi Province, Orient.tm reports. The forum resulted in the signing of two comparatively minor contracts between Turkmen and Chinese companies.
Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/30/2026 - 22:35
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Sat, 31 Oct 2026 02:10:00 +0000 Mobile Tax Preparers Indicted Over 9,000 Allegedly Fraudulent Returns Seeking $177 Million, With $81 Million Already Paid Out
Mobile Tax Preparers Indicted Over 9,000 Allegedly Fraudulent Returns Seeking $177 Million, With $81 Million Already Paid Out
A federal indictment announced Wednesday accuses six people tied to one Mobile, Alabama,
Read more.....
Mobile Tax Preparers Indicted Over 9,000 Allegedly Fraudulent Returns Seeking $177 Million, With $81 Million Already Paid Out
A federal indictment announced Wednesday accuses six people tied to one Mobile, Alabama, tax shop of filing more than 9,000 false returns that sought more than $177 million in refunds , about $81 million of which the IRS actually issued, prosecutors say .
Prosecutors say Jennifer Beverly, 47, owned and ran JB Accounting Tax Service LLC in Mobile from roughly 2022 through 2024. Five of her employees are charged alongside her: Jadasha Bowman, 28; Kennedy Lawrence Stovall Winston, 42; Solida Lucille Green, 36; Paris Lovett, also known as Paris Johnson, 30; and Shermeka Benjamin, 38.
The indictment alleges the scheme ran from about 2021 through 2024. The returns allegedly carried false Schedule C statements, COVID-19 credits, fuel tax credits, credit repayments, estimated tax payments, Schedule A and Schedule 3 statements, and education credits. Spread across 9,000 returns, the refunds claimed come to more than $19,000 apiece , and the roughly $81 million issued is about 46 percent of the $177 million sought.
All six are charged with conspiracy to commit wire fraud. Beverly also faces 63 wire fraud counts, Bowman 11, Winston five, Green 11, Lovett 11 and Benjamin four, 105 counts between them. If convicted, they face penalties that include prison, supervised release, fines and restitution.
The indictment also carries a forfeiture notice. It names a money judgment against each defendant for the proceeds they allegedly obtained, plus 12 real properties belonging to one or more of them.
"The allegations in this case reveal a staggering abuse of the federal tax system, involving more than 9,000 allegedly fraudulent tax returns, over $177 million in refund claims, and approximately $81 million in refunds issued," said Maisha Horton, acting special agent in charge of IRS Criminal Investigation's Atlanta field office. Christopher Flowers, special agent in charge of the FBI's Mobile field office, said "today's coordinated arrests highlight the strong partnership between the FBI and IRS Criminal Investigation."
The Justice Department folded the case into its fraud push. It says the investigation is part of enforcement led by the National Fraud Enforcement Division, which it says it created on April 7 and which supports the White House Task Force to Eliminate Fraud. Vice President J.D. Vance chairs that task force, which held its first meeting March 27 and was built around fraud in federal benefit programs. This case is a different kind of loss: refunds paid out by the Treasury.
Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/30/2026 - 22:10
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Sat, 31 Oct 2026 01:45:00 +0000 The Doomsday Government: Preparing For The End Of The World, Not The End Of Power
The Doomsday Government: Preparing For The End Of The World, Not The End Of Power
The Doomsday Government: Preparing For The End Of The World, Not The End Of Power
Authored by John & Nisha Whitehead via The Rutherford Institute ,
"Monsters in movies are us, always us, one way or the other... Monsters are us, the dangerous parts of us. The part that wants to destroy. The part of us with the reptile brain. The part of us that's vicious and cruel. We express these in our stories as these monsters out there." - John Carpenter
This time of year, there is no shortage of monsters to frighten us.
Hollywood has given us vampires, zombies, mad scientists, masked killers and creatures that emerge from the darkness to prey upon the unsuspecting.
But perhaps the most frightening monster of all is the government that has become so accustomed to wielding extraordinary power that it cannot imagine a future in which that power is diminished .
Enter the Doomsday Plan .
Imagine it: The power grid goes down. Supply chains collapse. Communications fail. Cities are plunged into darkness. Ordinary Americans are left scrambling for food, water, medicine and shelter.
Not to worry, though. The government has a plan for the coming apocalypse.
Unfortunately, the plan seems to have more to do with keeping the police state operational than keeping the American people alive.
In what sounds like a plot lifted straight out of Stanley Kubrick's Dr. Strangelove , the Pentagon has unveiled an initiative designed to keep the war machine running even if a catastrophic war devastates the country's civilian infrastructure .
Under an initiative called FORTRESS, the military is preparing major installations across the United States to operate independently for at least 90 days in the event of a catastrophic disruption . The plan includes portable nuclear reactors, independent power grids, stockpiles of fuel and ammunition, backup communications systems and arrangements for civilian factories to switch over to wartime production.
The Pentagon calls this preparedness.
The rest of us might reasonably wonder: what good is a government that can survive the end of the world if the people it was created to serve cannot?
This is the dark absurdity at the heart of Dr. Strangelove or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb , Kubrick's 1964 satire about a collection of military commanders, politicians and bureaucrats who bring the world to the brink of nuclear annihilation while congratulating themselves on their strategic brilliance.
As civilization faces extinction, the men in charge begin discussing how a select portion of the population might survive underground in mineshafts, eventually emerging to rebuild civilization.
Naturally, the planners envision themselves among the survivors .
The resemblance to the present day is difficult to ignore.
Indeed, it sometimes seems as though the Trump administration has been watching every dystopian film and Cold War nightmare ever made and mistaking the villains for role models.
George Orwell's 1984 gave us a surveillance state that watches everything and everyone. Aldous Huxley's Brave New World imagined a population conditioned into compliance. John Carpenter's They Live exposed a society manipulated by hidden powers, while Escape from New York envisioned an America where whole populations could be abandoned to incarceration and decay.
These works were supposed to serve as warnings.
Yet the machinery of government increasingly resembles the very dystopias they cautioned against : mass surveillance, militarized policing, automated systems of control, a presidency claiming ever-expanding authority, and now elaborate preparations to keep the military functioning in the event of societal collapse.
Of course, governments have a responsibility to prepare for emergencies. No reasonable person would argue otherwise. But there is a world of difference between preparing to protect the nation and preparing to preserve the power of those who govern it .
That distinction matters, especially when the same government that prepares for catastrophic war also helps create the conditions in which such wars become not only likely but imminent.
For decades, presidents of both political parties have pursued policies of military expansion, foreign intervention, escalating confrontation and permanent national emergency. The result has been an increasingly militarized national-security state that operates with fewer meaningful restraints and demands ever greater sacrifices from the American people.
We have been told that these extraordinary powers are necessary to keep us safe.
Yet the government's answer to nearly every crisis - war, terrorism, civil unrest, economic instability, public health emergencies - has been more government power, more military involvement, more surveillance and fewer constitutional protections.
Now the Pentagon is planning for a world in which the civilian infrastructure that sustains ordinary Americans may no longer function .
What happens then?
The government's answer, at least in the newly announced FORTRESS initiative, is to make sure the military can continue fighting.
But what about the rest of us?
If the electric grid collapses, who will restore power to civilian communities? If hospitals lose electricity, who will keep patients alive? If food and medicine stop moving through the country, who will feed the population? If communications fail, how will families find one another? And if civil institutions cease functioning, who will ensure that emergency military authority does not become a permanent substitute for constitutional government?
This is precisely the kind of future the Pentagon is anticipating.
Consider the Pentagon's chilling training video, Megacities: Urban Future, the Emerging Complexity , made public in 2016 .
The video envisions a world of sprawling urban centers overwhelmed by poverty, disease, unemployment, overcrowding, failing infrastructure, environmental disasters and civil unrest.
It is a bleak portrait of the world as military planners fear it might look by 2030. In this vision of the future, cities become battlegrounds and the citizenry are viewed as the enemy .
As we warned nearly a decade ago , the military's vision of the future raises a disturbing possibility: that the people trapped in failing cities could come to be viewed less as citizens in need of protection than as obstacles to military operations .
As the video warns, there will be a need to "drain the swamps ." Only in this dystopian future, "we the people" risk becoming inhabitants of the swamp that military forces are preparing to clear out .
That is a dangerous way for any government to view the people it is supposed to protect.
It is particularly dangerous for a nation whose founders explicitly rejected martial law and enacted constitutional bulwarks to guard against the rise of a police state.
Yet this is where the country has been heading for years.
We've witnessed the steady militarization of domestic law enforcement, the expansion of surveillance networks, the deployment of military equipment into American communities, and repeated efforts to blur the line between policing and warfare.
Under the Trump administration, those boundaries have been tested even further through domestic military deployments, aggressive immigration enforcement and expansive claims of executive authority in the name of national security.
The message is increasingly unmistakable: the military is increasingly being presented as the solution to every domestic crisis .
Yet this is also why the Pentagon's latest Doomsday preparations cannot be considered in isolation from the government's longstanding continuity-of-government plans.
For decades, federal officials have maintained arrangements intended to preserve essential government operations during a catastrophic emergency, including secure facilities, alternate command centers, succession procedures and protected communications systems.
These preparations are hardly limited to military installations.
Even Trump's controversial White House ballroom project includes plans for fortified underground facilities, bomb shelters, secure communications and medical facilities , ostensibly to ensure that the presidency can continue functioning during a national emergency.
The government is making elaborate preparations to preserve its leadership and military capabilities in the event of catastrophe.
Some of these measures are practical: a functioning government is essential to coordinating rescue operations, maintaining order and rebuilding after disaster. But continuity-of-government planning also raises a constitutional question that is too often overlooked: what exactly is being preserved?
The Constitution establishes a government of limited, divided powers, accountable to the people and constrained by law.
Preserving that government means more than ensuring that the president can issue orders, military commanders can communicate and federal agencies can continue operating. It means preserving the checks and balances that prevent power from becoming absolute. It means preserving Congress, the courts, due process, freedom of speech, freedom of the press and the right of the people to challenge government abuses.
It means ensuring that an emergency does not become an excuse to dispense with the very constitutional restraints that distinguish a republic from a dictatorship.
Otherwise, continuity of government becomes little more than continuity of power.
That danger is hardly theoretical.
The government has already spent the better part of the past quarter-century normalizing powers once considered extraordinary. For instance, the 9/11 attacks gave rise to the Patriot Act, warrantless surveillance, secret courts, indefinite detention, expanded executive authority and a sprawling homeland-security apparatus.
The emergency was supposed to be temporary. Instead, the machinery created in response to that emergency became a permanent fixture of American life .
Successive presidents inherited those powers, defended them and expanded upon them. The same pattern has been repeated with other crises, legitimate and manufactured.
What begins as an exceptional measure becomes the norm. What is justified as temporary becomes permanent. What is introduced as a safeguard against danger becomes another instrument of government control.
The public is told to trust the government to use these extraordinary powers responsibly. Yet the Constitution was not written on the assumption that those in power could always be trusted. It was written because they cannot be trusted.
This is the lesson that government officials, regardless of political affiliation, seem determined to ignore.
The founders understood that concentrated power is dangerous even when exercised by people claiming the best intentions. They also understood that military power, unless strictly constrained, could become an instrument of domestic tyranny .
That is why civilian control of the military, the separation of powers, due process and the protections enshrined in the Bill of Rights are not inconveniences to be discarded whenever the government declares an emergency.
They are safeguards against the abuses that emergencies make possible.
Yet what happens to those safeguards in the kind of catastrophic scenario the Pentagon is preparing for? When the infrastructure has collapsed. Communications are severely disrupted. Civilian agencies are overwhelmed. Courts may be unable to function normally. Congress may struggle to convene. Local governments may lack the resources to meet basic needs. Meanwhile, the military retains independent power, communications, supplies and operational command .
Under those conditions, who gets to make the decisions?
Who determines which communities receive assistance, which areas are secured, which movements are restricted, and which orders must be obeyed? Who decides when the emergency is over? And who has the power to say no?
The greater the crisis, the greater the temptation to abandon constitutional limits in the name of survival. And the more power the government acquires during an emergency, the less willing it tends to be to surrender that power afterward .
The government has become so consumed with preserving its power that it can plan for almost everything except its own accountability and restraint .
That is what makes the Pentagon's doomsday planning so unsettling.
The problem is not that the military wants to keep the lights on during a national catastrophe. The problem is what happens when keeping the machinery of war functioning becomes the overriding measure of national survival.
A nation is so much more than its military installations, its command centers, its weapons systems or its political leadership. A nation is its people. It is families, neighborhoods, communities, schools, churches, hospitals and the countless institutions of civil society that make freedom possible.
It is also the constitutional principles that prevent those entrusted with power from becoming masters over those they were appointed to serve.
Without those things, there may still be a government. There may still be a military. There may even be a president issuing orders from some fortified command center. But there will be little left of the republic the Constitution was intended to establish .
So where does that leave us?
President Trump and his self-serving administration of war hawks have squandered so much of our resources, our goodwill on the world stage, and our role as a champion for liberty and justice. Now having pushed us to the apocalyptic brink of devastation, they're building bunkers to save their own necks while the rest of us are left to fend for ourselves .
Enough is enough.
"We the people" should be demanding a government that works to prevent catastrophe, protects civilian life, respects constitutional limits and remembers that its continued existence is not an end in itself. And if they won't march in lockstep with our expectations, throw the whole lot of them out.
Because as I make clear in my book Battlefield America: The War on the American People and in its fictional counterpart The Erik Blair Diaries , the danger comes when the government forgets that it exists to serve the people, not the other way around .
A government that survives by abandoning the people and the Constitution has not saved the country.
It has merely saved itself.
The Constitution was not written to ensure that the government would survive at any cost.
It was written to ensure that freedom would survive a tyrannical government.
We publish a variety of perspectives. Nothing written here is to be construed as representing the views of ZeroHedge.
Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/30/2026 - 21:45
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Sat, 31 Oct 2026 01:20:00 +0000 US Army Quietly Begins Drills That Will Chill You To The Bone
US Army Quietly Begins Drills That Will Chill You To The Bone
The U.S. Army has conducted military exercises involving the excavation of mass battlefield graves , preparing for a potential future war in whic
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US Army Quietly Begins Drills That Will Chill You To The Bone
The U.S. Army has conducted military exercises involving the excavation of mass battlefield graves , preparing for a potential future war in which casualties could become so overwhelming that bringing fallen soldiers home promptly would no longer be possible.
The Unit Ministry Team across XVIII Airborne Corps, collaborate and prepare a designated battlefield temporary interment site in Fayetteville, North Carolina, Oct. 20, 2026. Photo by Sgt. 1st Class Ange Desinor
The drills, dubbed Operation Dragon Covenant, were held in North Carolina earlier this month and brought together military engineers, chaplains, medical personnel, and fatality management specialists to practice burying large numbers of bodies in temporary battlefield trenches, Army Times reports.
Engineers reportedly used D6 bulldozers to excavate trenches capable of holding 20 bodies in roughly 75 minutes. Commanders calculated that a properly equipped engineering company could dig and cover trenches for 2,400 bodies in 24 hours of nonstop operations .
A U.S. Army D6 bulldozer, operated by horizontal construction engineers from the 20th Engineer Brigade, backfills a simulated temporary interment trench during Phase II of Operation Dragon Covenant near the St. Mere Eglise Drop Zone, Oct. 21, 2026. (U.S. Army photo by Capt. Thomas McCarty)
Sgt. 1st Class Delbert Ruede, a senior Army fatality management leader, acknowledged how unprepared the service had been.
"If we went to war tomorrow, we would be making this up as we went along. What we are doing here is taking a scientific, field-tested approach so that we can maintain positive control and respectfully care for our fallen," he warned .
The U.S. Army also practiced what to do if traditional funerals aren't possible, so Chaplains are preparing to bless entire burial sites at once .
"In a high-intensity, contested combat environment, fatality management teams cannot stop a 24-hour interment operation for individualized religious gravesite services," Lt. Col. Ruska, chaplain for the 3rd CSC, told Army Times .
(U.S. Army photo by Capt. Thomas McCarty)
"We consulted with Chaplains from various low density faith groups for advisement," he added. "The consensus was that by consecrating the site before remains are placed in the ground reassures families that their loved ones are treated with reverence, dignity and honor despite the inability to provide a memorial ceremony in a contested combat environment."
U.S. forces have not carried out large-scale temporary battlefield burials since the Korean War.
We guess the FEMA coffins are for when they have more time?
Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/30/2026 - 21:20
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Sat, 31 Oct 2026 00:55:00 +0000 Trump Considers Lifting Sanctions On Putin's 'Slush Fund'
Trump Considers Lifting Sanctions On Putin's 'Slush Fund'
Trump Considers Lifting Sanctions On Putin's 'Slush Fund'
Authored by RFE/RL staff via OilPrice ,
Washington is considering lifting sanctions imposed on the Russian Direct Investment Fund in 2022. RDIF chief Kirill Dmitriev has become a central figure in negotiations over U.S.-Russia economic relations. Critics warn that removing sanctions could benefit Kremlin-linked investments without securing concessions on Ukraine. Four days after Russia launched its all-out effort to subjugate Ukraine, the US government and other Western allies fired a broadside of financial sanctions aimed at punishing the Kremlin's wallet for the assault .
The Russian Central Bank was prominent.
So was a multibillion-dollar sovereign wealth fund that the Kremlin calls the Russian Direct Investment Fund, or RDIF.
The U.S. Treasury called it "a slush fund for President Vladimir Putin [that] is emblematic of Russia's broader kleptocracy."
After months of dormancy, US negotiators have ramped up efforts to find a negotiated settlement to end Russia's war on Ukraine -- as well as normalize frosty relations between Washington and Moscow.
The peace proposals vary. Many tilt heavily in Russia favor, something that was echoed in Putin's remarks to European leaders earlier this week.
They also include lifting sanctions on the RDIF, whose chief executive, Kirill Dmitriev, is the Kremlin's point person for talks with the Americans .
"This conversation is going on," Kremlin foreign policy adviser Yury Ushakov told Russian reporters . "It's been going on for some time, though I don't know what the result will be."
"Dmitriev is actively reaching out, in particular, and therefore the question has come up and is being discussed," Ushakov said on October 28, confirming a New York Times report a day earlier.
US sanctions experts were wary.
"Since its inception in the early 2010s, RDIF has served as a vehicle for channeling investments into companies and sectors that are strategically important to Putin," said Peter Harell, who served as a senior director on the White House National Security Council from 2021 to 2022.
"We should all be clear-eyed about what unsanctioning RDIF would mean: it would mean prioritizing American investment in Kremlin-aligned projects over supporting Ukraine," he said.
What Is The RDIF Anyway? The fund was established in 2011 during the interim period when Putin's protege, Dmitry Medvedev, served as president, and Putin as prime minister.
It came at a time when Russian coffers were brimming with revenues from high global oil prices and fiscal planners were moving to put the country onto a rock-solid financial footing.
Back then, Russia had one traditional sovereign wealth fund that was later split into two: the Stabilization Fund and the Reserve Fund.
Both more or less helped to keep excess oil revenues from destabilizing the economy, as well as to help fill gaps in the budget; the pension system above all.
In short, nothing controversial nor particularly political.
The RDIF, however, was a slightly different beast: aimed at making targeted investments in Russian companies: construction, telecoms, finance, health care, and dairy, among others. It says to date it has made 2.3 trillion rubles ($29 billion) in investments since its inception -- with about 80 percent of that amount coming from "partner funds."
Experts say its management strategy more closely resembles a private equity fund. Among the best, publicly known investors who have bought in or partnered with RDIF: Saudi Arabia's government-based Public Investment Fund.
The RDIF had already drawn scrutiny from US regulators in 2015 -- about a year after Russia illegally annexed Ukraine's Crimean Peninsula. At the time, the fund was linked to the state investment bank VEB. The administration of President Barack Obama barred American individuals and businesses from making loans to or buying equity in RDIF.
Later, Russian authorities separated the fund from VEB, turning it into a stand-alone entity.
Iikka Korhonen, head of research at the Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies, said the fund was quite small relative to other such mechanisms.
"The size of the fund is miniscule-- on a macro scale-- and they claim they have helped to leverage lots of investments into Russia. But I don't know if they have actually done anything in a long time," he told RFE/RL.
Sputnik: The Vaccine (Not The Satellite) The fund's highest profile investment came in 2020, in the midst of the COVID-19 epidemic.
At the time, governments and private companies around the world were racing to come up with a viable vaccine for the coronavirus.
In Russia, the Kremlin prioritized the development of its own vaccine, dubbed Sputnik V, in a nod to the world's first artificial satellite.
In addition to directing money to homegrown research, the fund also aggressively promoted Sputnik V, extolling -- and at times exaggerating -- its benefits, while also criticizing Western vaccines and amplifying negative scientific results .
The fund also played a role in the shipment of 45 Russian-made ventilators that were sent to the United States in a humanitarian gesture -- but never were used for unclear reasons.
Reports at the time said US authorities were concerned because RDIF said it paid for half the shipment, something denied by the State Department. Also cited was the fact that similar models of ventilators had exploded and caught fire in Russian hospitals.
In the end, the Sputnik V vaccine was rolled out widely through Russia, though many Russians were deeply skeptical, of Sputnik V in particular, though also coronavirus vaccines in general.
Outside Russia, however, the vaccine gained less traction, overtaken by greater interest in Western vaccines.
Who is Kirill Dmitriev? Born in Kyiv and educated at Stanford then Harvard, Dmitriev, 51, worked briefly on Wall Street, in the investment bank Goldman Sachs, and, also consulting giant McKinsey and Company.
RDIF did not immediately respond to an e-mail seeking comment from RFE/RL.
His wife, Natalia Popova, is widely known as a close friend of Katerina Tikhonova, who is the younger of Putin's two daughters. Dmitriev sits on the board of directors for an innovation fund called Innopraktia that is headed by Tikhonova.
He was appointed RDIF's first executive when it was established. In an interview with the business newspaper Vedomosti, published in 2012 , he described his philosophy toward investing.
"We don't want to rush. We're very responsible with our money and take a conservative approach to investment decisions. We don't want to invest and then see a second wave of the crisis hit and all assets, including ours, plummet in value," Dmitriev was quoted as saying.
During the run-up to the 2016 US presidential election, which ultimately was won by Donald Trump, Dmitriev was one of several Russian officials who held back-channel meetings with Trump administration confidants.
Dmitriev met with Erik Prince, founder of the private military company Blackwater and Trump campaign donor, in the Seychelles just weeks before Trump took office -- a meeting that was documented by Special Counsel Robert Mueller, who investigated the Trump administration's ties to Russian officials .
After Trump returned to the White House in 2025, Dmitriev was tapped by Putin to be the Kremlin's special economic envoy. But he also cultivated a close relationship with the White House's lead envoy, real estate developer Steve Witkoff.
Dmitriev has since taken on the lead role in negotiations to rebuild business relations with US companies -- and also end the Ukraine war. He's met repeatedly over the past 16 months with Witkoff and Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner in Moscow -- including earlier this month amid the release of a retired American schoolteacher, Stephen Hubbard, from a Russian prison.
RDIF and Dmitriev, were also instrumental in a deal, recently announced by the Trump administration, to allow Russian diesel fuel to be imported into the United States.
That deal has drawn scathing criticism from Democratic lawmakers -- and even some Republicans -- in Washington , who say it violates the spirit of a recently passed sanctions law, and several have threatened potential criminal liabilities for any American companies that import the Russian diesel.
"I think lifting sanctions without Russia giving anything in return is an example of really confused policy-making," Korhonen said.
Speaking at an energy conference in Moscow on October 16, Dmitriev criticized the US sanctions law as "misguided," and he touted other business deals he said were in the works between Moscow and Washington.
"Naturally, progress is quite difficult; there is resistance, in fact, widespread resistance, from various quarters. Yet, as the example regarding diesel demonstrates, I believe we will soon be announcing several other significant initiatives," he said . "The ice has, in fact, begun to break."
Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/30/2026 - 20:55
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Sat, 31 Oct 2026 00:45:00 +0000 Ilhan Omar's Ex-Husband And Alleged Brother Describes Himself As 'Gay Man' While Frey Aide Says Allegations 'Almost Certainly True'
Ilhan Omar's Ex-Husband And Alleged Brother Describes Himself As 'Gay Man' While Frey Aide Says Allegations 'Almost Certainly True'
Ahmed Nur Said Elmi, the ex-husband of Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) who is accused of being he
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Ilhan Omar's Ex-Husband And Alleged Brother Describes Himself As 'Gay Man' While Frey Aide Says Allegations 'Almost Certainly True'
Ahmed Nur Said Elmi, the ex-husband of Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) who is accused of being her brother, identified himself as a "gay man" in an academic paper published in August. The disclosure surfaces as the Department of Justice is investigating whether the couple's 2009 marriage was a sham.
I mean... Ahmed Elmi, Omar's former husband, in a photograph posted to social media in January. | Instagram
Elmi, a doctoral researcher at the University of Bristol, wrote that his study of violence against gay people in Africa was "not just an academic undertaking" because of "the complexities of [his] identity" as a "gay man of the East African diaspora."
Omar, asked in an MS NOW interview whether she married her brother, answered "Not to my knowledge" and called the claim "insane." She has denied any wrongdoing, and no court has found that she committed immigration fraud.
Joe Radinovich, a longtime political adviser to Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey, wrote on X Thursday that Democrats should understand the allegation is "almost certainly true." Radinovich, a former Democratic state lawmaker, managed Frey's 2017 and 2021 mayoral campaigns and served as his chief of staff.
His post came as 175 House Democrats called for an end to the federal investigation in a letter accusing the DOJ and DHS of the "weaponization of law enforcement."
In a follow-up, Radinovich said he would be "very, very careful" about how he qualified allegations around Omar's finances, "where her defense looks similar and where no meaningful questions have been answered publicly, and where any objective look at the evidence doesn't look...great."
Radinovich has history with Omar: he ran Don Samuels's 2022 and 2024 Democratic primary challenges against her, both of which she won.
"I believe the Trump DOJ has next to no credibility ... but I'm pretty confident this specific allegation is true," Radinovich wrote in reply to a critic who told him he knew the case was "a baseless and manufactured witch hunt." He said he wasn't sure the timing of the raid was appropriate, though "it's notable a DC judge signed off on it."
"Vibes is what it would take to believe her at this point," he wrote in another reply. "There's plenty of evidence and sourcing available if you don't dismiss it out of hand."
A Christian minister married Omar, who is Muslim, to Elmi on Feb. 12, 2009, according to the New York Post . By that date, Omar already had two children with Ahmed Hirsi, whom she wed in a 2002 religious ceremony without ever entering a legal marriage. Three months after the wedding, in May 2009, Hirsi listed the address on the Omar-Elmi marriage license as his own home. Omar had a third child with Hirsi in 2012 and divorced Elmi in 2017.
Tabloids have labeled Elmi "flamboyant" based on his social media posts, but the paper marks the first explicit statement of his sexual orientation. The paper reflects on interviews Elmi conducted with research subjects in Kenya and draws on terms from academic theory, including "standpoint theory" and "fluid insider-outsider positioning."
"It has all the features of woke slop: Not methodologically serious, ideologically slanted, and more concerned with academic ornamentation than clear communication," Ian Kingsbury, senior director of the Center for Accountability in Medicine at Do No Harm, told the Daily Caller News Foundation. "The fact that it's so tedious and painful to read signals that it isn't meant for an audience outside a small clique of sociologists or gender theorists."
Department of Homeland Security agents raided Omar's Washington, D.C., home on Oct. 12 as part of the ongoing immigration fraud probe. The investigation reportedly began in the department's war crimes unit. Omar claims to have obtained her naturalization through her father, a Somali military official, however, recent reports revealed that after she was elected to Congress, her staff got her birth year changed from 1981 to 1982, a revision that, if true, would undermine her claim that she derived citizenship as a minor when her father naturalized in 2000.
The New York Times reported Thursday that investigators are also reviewing evidence of a sham marriage between Omar and Elmi. A heavily redacted Justice Department filing identifies Omar as "Ilhan Nur Said Elmi, a/k/a Ilhan Abdullahi Omar." Somali women traditionally keep their own names after marriage. Under Somali naming conventions, a child's first name comes before the first names of the father, paternal grandfather and paternal great-grandfather.
Applying that system, Elmi's name on the marriage certificate identifies him as the son of a man named Nur Said. The DOJ filing identifies Omar as the daughter of Nur Said. Omar has said her father's name is Nur Omar Mohamed. An archived Facebook post by her sister Sahra Noor shows that he used the name Nur Said, and Omar herself referred to him as Nur Said in a since-deleted tweet . In 2019, a spokesperson for Omar said "Nur Said" was a childhood nickname meaning "Happy Light" in Arabic. Somali is the first language of most Somalis, though Arabic also holds official status in Somalia.
Archived social media posts also connect Omar to people who share her ex-husband's patronymic names and identify them as her siblings. A 2016 Facebook post names one of them, Leila Elmi, as Omar's sister. On her own marriage certificate, Leila Elmi lists "Nur Said Elmi" as her father.
Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/30/2026 - 20:45
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Sat, 31 Oct 2026 00:30:00 +0000 Turning The Knife Inward: Xi Purges A Record 33 At Fifth Plenum As China's Military High Command Shrinks To Two Men
Turning The Knife Inward: Xi Purges A Record 33 At Fifth Plenum As China's Military High Command Shrinks To Two Men
Another plenum, another record... just not the kind that goes on the economic scoreboard.
China's Communist Pa
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Turning The Knife Inward: Xi Purges A Record 33 At Fifth Plenum As China's Military High Command Shrinks To Two Men
Another plenum, another record... just not the kind that goes on the economic scoreboard.
China's Communist Party wrapped up the fifth plenary session of its 20th Central Committee on Thursday after four days behind closed doors, and the Xinhua readout confirmed the expulsion of 33 senior officials, the most ever at a single plenum , 16 of them from the military. That includes Gen. Zhang Youxia, until January Xi's closest ally in uniform and the PLA's top-ranking general, whose fall we covered in real time back in "Shockwaves In Beijing: Xi Targets His Own Top General, Longtime Confidant, In Elite Purge " (Jan 24).
The party says it is "turning the blade inward" to "eliminate serious hidden dangers." Translation: nobody below Xi is safe, and the purge is accelerating going into next year's leadership congress , which the plenum formally scheduled for the second half of 2027 and where Xi is all but certain to collect a fourth term.
Using Nikkei Asia's breakdown of who fell and who rose , let's look at the casualties, the survivors, the promotions and what it all means for 2027.
"Offend Thousands Rather Than Fail 1.4 Billion" On Friday morning Beijing sent Zhang Fuhai, deputy secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI), to take a victory lap. He told reporters that Xi has led an "unprecedented" drive with the resolve to "offend thousands rather than fail 1.4 billion people ," and that "the results are plain for all to see."
Well, the results are certainly plentiful. According to Zhang, authorities have punished almost 8 million people, including 963 senior officials , since the 18th Party Congress in November 2012, and 680,000 were disciplined in the first nine months of this year alone. And there is more to come: the CCDI pledged to intensify its "high-pressure deterrence" and to "leverage technology" to make it more effective, which sounds about as relaxing as it reads.
Besides the generals, the headline civilian scalps were:
Ma Xingrui , ex-Politburo member, Xinjiang party boss and former president of China Aerospace Science and Technology Corp. (CASC). Expelled in July, per Reuters , on charges ranging from selling promotions to "large-scale family corruption" (and exchanges of "power for sex"), making him the third sitting Politburo member purged this term;Liu Jianchao , ex-head of the party's International Department and once the foreign ministry's best-known spokesman, missing from public view since August of last year and at one point tipped as the next foreign minister. As ChinaTalk pointed out, Liu also once ran Xi's global manhunt for corrupt officials, so the hunter has officially become the hunted ;Lan Tianli , former chairman of the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region government.Look further down the list and Bloomberg's tally shows a pattern: China's aerospace and defense-industrial complex has been gutted. Besides Ma (ex-CASC), the newly confirmed names include former MIIT minister Jin Zhuanglong, CASC's former chairman Lei Fanpei and general manager Zhang Zhongyang, CASIC's former chairman Yuan Jie, and China State Shipbuilding's former chairman Wen Gang, together with former top brass of the Eastern, Northern and Western Theater Commands. In other words, the people who build China's rockets, warships and missiles, and the people who would command them in a war , have been the main source of empty chairs.
As usual, the charges were "serious violations of discipline and law," with no details. For Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, the September expulsion notice added that they were "disloyal and dishonest to the Party" and guilty of "forming cliques," while the rumor mill went considerably further back in January:
(The official notice never mentioned nuclear secrets, though as we noted in "China's Sacked Top General Accused Of Leaking Nuclear Secrets To US: Report " the day after his downfall, the WSJ report was enough to get Beijing's rumor mill working overtime.)
Two Men Standing The single most striking number from the plenum may be two . Of the seven men who made up the Central Military Commission, the body that runs the PLA, after the 2022 Congress, only two remain : Xi himself and Zhang Shengmin. The plenum made no new appointments , so five seats are still empty.
Regular readers know this did not happen overnight. Defense minister Li Shangfu went first, then He Weidong and Miao Hua, then the October 2025 wipeout we described in "China Expels 9 Top Generals, Including Two From Communist Party Leadership, In Sweeping Purge ":
And then came January, when Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff chief Liu Zhenli disappeared from a high-profile party study session. One former CIA analyst described it to the NYT at the time as "the total annihilation of the high command ."
Nine months later, that looks about right.
The one man who has gone up while everyone else went down is Zhang Shengmin , the CMC's former discipline chief, who led the military's anti-corruption work from 2018 until July of this year and was made vice chairman at last year's fourth plenum. On Thursday he was also added to the Politburo, its only military member, and as Goldman's Sydney futures desk flagged in its Friday morning comment (available to pro subs ), the first new member to join between five-yearly congresses in over three decades . The last time it happened was 1994, when Jiang Zemin slotted in his associate Huang Ju.
So, in a fitting twist, the man who ran the purges is the one who gets promoted for them .
Eurasia Group's China team (analysts including Mingda Qiu) called Zhang "Xi's bridge from a purged military to a rebuilt one ," while adding that "the construction is far from complete." The note continues:
"Zhang's elevation restores the norm that CMC vice chairmen sit on the Politburo, a practice that was interrupted last January with the ouster of Zhang Youxia. Promoting him now, a year before the 2027 Party Congress, suggests that Xi intends Zhang to span both sides of that transition, anchoring a hollowed-out command structure today and laying the groundwork for the rebuilt one tomorrow ."
Then comes the Taiwan question, which every reader is probably asking. Eurasia's view is that "Xi continues to distrust his military leadership " and is "still vetting his top officers rather than fully relying on them or preparing for a near-term conflict," so the near-term probability of a war over Taiwan "remains very low." That's broadly where the consensus sits, although a separate camp argues that a hollowed-out PLA leans more on gray-zone coercion to show it still works, a point we discussed in "PLA Purge May Be Driving China To Rely More On Military Pressure Against Taiwan: Analysts ":
Either way, a commander in chief who doesn't trust five of his six top generals enough to replace them is probably not planning an amphibious invasion any time soon. Spot the irony: a purge sold as making the PLA stronger is, for now, the best near-term argument that it is in no shape to fight.
Empty Chairs: Lowest Turnout Since The Cultural Revolution The damage shows most clearly in the attendance sheet. Per Xinhua, just 162 of the Central Committee's 205 full members showed up this week, along with 117 alternates, for a total of 279. When the current committee was formed in October 2022, it had 376 people; the third plenum in July 2024 drew 364 and last October's fourth plenum 315.
According to Bloomberg's tally, that is the lowest attendance since the chaotic years of the Cultural Revolution and the first time turnout has fallen below 300 in Xi's 14 years in power. Put differently, roughly one in four seats in the room where China's leadership is formally chosen is empty , and this is the body that will rubber-stamp next year's lineup.
As Asia Society's Neil Thomas put it, "more empty seats underscores the plenum's focus on Xi's vision of strict internal discipline." The plenum also passed a resolution on "comprehensive and strict governance over the party," and confessed that it had "squarely confronted the grim reality that party leadership had at times weakened or hollowed out." Hollowed out, indeed.
Who Rose: Bankers, Steelmen And The '70 Hou' To refill at least some of the seats, 10 alternates were promoted to full Central Committee membership, and, as Nikkei notes, four of them were born in 1970 or later , part of what China calls the "70 hou" generation. Their resumes have a common thread: most built their careers in state-owned industry and state banks before moving into government:
Lu Dongliang (b. 1973): governor of coal-heavy Shanxi, former chairman of state aluminum giant Chalco;Liu Jie (b. 1970): governor of Zhejiang, where Xi was once party secretary and from where he has promoted a long line of lieutenants; previously president of Xiangtan Iron and Steel;Liu Jun (b. 1972): president and vice chair of ICBC, China's largest lender by assets, previously chair of Bank of Communications;Liu Qiang (b. 1971): deputy party secretary of Shandong and party boss of Jinan, previously vice president of Bank of China;Xing Shanping (b. 1968): Shaanxi deputy party secretary, a notable promotion for a woman in an overwhelmingly male leadership.Two state-bank executives elevated in one sitting tells you something about where Beijing sees its next set of problems: local debt cleanup and bank recapitalization will be run by men who know the balance sheets. And managers who spent careers running Chalco and Xiangtan Steel are, presumably, very comfortable taking orders.
Succession watchers are paying attention. Xi would be 79 at the end of a fourth term in 2032, so the speculation has skipped a generation. University of Tokyo professor Shin Kawashima, who believes Xi will get another term "for sure," said he is watching "those joining the central committee and born in the 1970s" for clues on who might be next in line. Meanwhile, the people who would normally be next in line, the 1960s cohort, have been thinned out by the very purges that created these openings.
The Bigger Picture: Xi's Talent Pipeline Problem Which brings us to the real story heading into 2027. As Bloomberg put it on the eve of the plenum, Xi now faces "a problem of his own making: his sweeping purges are draining the pipeline he needs to staff senior roles next term ." The to-do list for next year's congress is long:
Five of the seven-man Politburo Standing Committee would retire if age norms hold, and veteran foreign minister Wang Yi (73) is expected to step down; The CMC needs five new members, more or less from scratch; The Politburo itself needs restocking after three members were ousted this term, its widest purge since the Cultural Revolution. The churn is just as visible in the provinces. Bloomberg's analysis of provincial postings shows that the average tenure of a provincial party chief has collapsed from 43 months in Xi's first term to 26.5 months in his third . Anhui and Qinghai have each had three party chiefs since October 2022, and one regional boss lasted just nine months.
Why should markets care? Because, as UC San Diego's Victor Shih told Bloomberg, "officials will have a shorter time horizon and be more inclined to deal with the latest edict from the center instead of longer issues of reform or economic growth ." Oxford Economics' Sheana Yue makes the same point in economist-speak, warning that the "emphasis on political discipline could create some tensions with Beijing's economic objectives," because "local officials may prioritize political compliance over experimentation, potentially complicating the implementation of growth initiatives."
In other words, in a system where the safest career move is to do nothing , the stimulus Beijing keeps announcing has a harder time reaching the real economy, a problem that will sound very familiar to anyone who has followed China's property bust. And if anyone hoped the purge would ease once the plenum was over, Xi used a speech published this month to warn against "two-faced people" in the ranks, vowed that "sick trees" must be uprooted, and told cadres frozen by fear that "procrastination before the reshuffles" was also unacceptable. So: don't be corrupt, don't be idle, and don't make a mistake. Good luck.
American University's Joseph Torigian sums up where that leaves the system: "Since the last Party Congress, Xi has lost faith in so many Central Committee members. He is going to have to promote a lot of people next year and doesn't want to make the same mistake again. So the intensity of review and punishment will inevitably intensify ."
Loyalty First, Growth Later Back in October 2025, as the fourth plenum unveiled China's next five-year plan, the headlines were about self-reliance in science and tech . Twelve months later, the fifth plenum was almost entirely about who can be trusted, which tells you how Xi has ordered his priorities heading into 2027.
The optimistic read, and the one Beijing is selling, is that a cleaner, more disciplined party and a rebuilt PLA come out of this stronger. The more likely read, in our view, is that the purge cycle intensifies into the congress : the CMC stays half-empty while candidates get vetted (and re-vetted), provincial officials keep their heads down rather than experiment, and the bench of experienced leaders for the post-Xi era keeps shrinking, which, conveniently, makes the man at the top even harder to replace. For investors that means more top-down policy and slower transmission, and for anyone still modeling an imminent Taiwan war, a PLA leadership that its own commander in chief doesn't yet trust.
And for those of the 33 who had hoped for a quiet exit, ChinaTalk has some bad news: "Expect a few of the 33 in January's installment of the state TV documentary where fallen officials confess on camera ." Prime-time viewing.
Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/30/2026 - 20:30
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Sat, 31 Oct 2026 00:05:00 +0000 Appeals Court Rejects DOJ Request For California To Set Aside 20,000 Ballots
Appeals Court Rejects DOJ Request For California To Set Aside 20,000 Ballots
Appeals Court Rejects DOJ Request For California To Set Aside 20,000 Ballots
Authored by Jack Phillips via The Epoch Times ,
A U.S. appeals court has rejected the Trump administration's request to stop California from counting ballots from 20,000 potential noncitizen voters .
In a 39-page ruling, a panel of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit ruled 2-1 that it declines the administration's "invitation to contravene the Elections Clause by undermining the Constitution's plain text."
"If the United States believes different procedures are necessary for vote-by-mail ballots, we believe it should take that suggestion to Congress, not the courts," the majority stated.
A district court judge already denied that request and said that the Department of Justice's (DOJ) demands could disenfranchise citizens.
Referring to that ruling, the appeals court wrote, "As the district court found - and we discern no clear error - there is no feasible way to identify and segregate the ballots of specific individuals without potentially catastrophic effects on the entire system ."
The panel rejected the government's emergency request for an injunction that would have barred the 20,000 ballots from being tallied until the voters' citizenship was verified. The midterm elections are set to be held on Tuesday, Nov. 3.
The Trump administration said it believes that the suspected noncitizens have already received mail-in ballots for the midterms and that if California officials receive those ballots, mix them with legitimate ones, and process them, illegal votes will be counted .
California officials have described the list as highly unreliable , saying it likely includes many people who are U.S. citizens.
State and county officials confirmed they lacked the mechanisms and authority to prevent non-U.S. citizens from voting in the elections, the DOJ wrote in its lawsuit earlier this month, meaning those individuals could potentially illegally vote in the election.
"As defendants continue processing ballots that cannot later be segregated or verified for eligibility, the dilution of lawful votes accelerates in real time," the DOJ said on Oct. 21 in an emergency filing to the appeals court.
Los Angeles County filed a motion asking the district judge to dismiss the lawsuit and argued that the DOJ lacked the legal standing to bring it.
"The executive, like any other plaintiff, must identify a concrete injury, actual or imminent, fairly traceable to the county's conduct and likely to be redressed by the requested relief. The complaint identifies none," the complaint stated.
The Trump administration is enhancing its scrutiny of local elections, and recently issued a raft of subpoenas in Alaska in a spoiler-candidate controversy.
In that state, campaign aides to Democratic Senate candidate Mary Peltola allegedly sought to recruit a third-party candidate with the same name as the Republican incumbent, Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska). Peltola's campaign has denied the claims , while the state's governor and police force have confirmed an investigation.
The DOJ has also provided a list of around 400 alleged noncitizen voters to officials in Washington state. In response , Washington Secretary of State Steve Hobbs said Thursday that his state has no capacity to confirm whether individuals are U.S. citizens when they are registered to vote .
"We don't have a system that can identify whether someone is an actual noncitizen," he said at a news conference, adding it isn't "unusual for noncitizens" to be on state voter registration lists.
President Donald Trump earlier this week said he would offer a $1 million reward for anyone who can provide information leading to the arrest and conviction of individuals engaging in voter fraud in the upcoming election or in previous ones. No additional details about the reward have been provided.
Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/30/2026 - 20:05
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