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Mon, 22 Dec 2025 23:25:00 +0000 Judge Green-Lights Secret Service Agent's Retaliation Case
Judge Green-Lights Secret Service Agent's Retaliation Case
Judge Green-Lights Secret Service Agent's Retaliation Case
Authored by Susan Crabtree via RealClearPolitics ,
A federal judge has allowed most claims in a senior Secret Service agent’s lawsuit alleging a hostile workplace, retaliation, and discrimination to move forward despite Department of Homeland Security opposition, according to court documents.
Rashid Ellis, a 14-year veteran of the agency with expertise in drone systems, sued DHS, which oversees the Secret Service, three months before the July 13, 2024, assassination attempt against Donald Trump in Butler, Pennsylvania.
Ellis’ lawsuit accuses agency leaders of dismissing complaints, elevating problematic colleagues to oversight positions, and punishing him for advocating for advancements in drone technology and racial unity within the agency.
The claims of retaliation, discrimination, and hostile work environment took place when Alejandro Mayorkas was DHS secretary and Kimberly Cheatle ran the Secret Service. Cheatle was forced to resign after severe criticism of her testimony to Congress about the Butler failures.
Even though Ellis’ former agency is now led by Trump-appointed Secretary Kristi Noem and Secret Service Director Sean Curran, so far there has been no effort to settle the case out of court.
Ruling Preserves Ellis’ Core Allegations
U.S. District Judge Emmit Sullivan ruled in late September that most of the claims in Ellis’ lawsuit could proceed. The decision, which RealClearPolitics is first to report, rejects the government’s motion to dismiss the case, clearing the path for legal discovery into allegations of systemic leadership failings, which Ellis argues enabled bias, stifled innovation, and endangered the agency’s mission.
A graduate of The Citadel who was consistently awarded “exceeds expectations” ratings in his performance reviews, Ellis served on former President Joe Biden’s protective detail, the elite Counter Assault Team, and as an instructor at the Secret Service’s James J. Rowley Training Center on counter-surveillance and the use of drones. His role as the Secret Service point person for the Federal Law Enforcement Officers’ Association, a lobbying entity that offers legal services, retirement benefits, and other support, amplified his advocacy for racial equality. Ellis argues it also made him a target for Secret Service leadership.
Multiple Secret Service shortcomings were evident in Butler on the day Trump was nearly killed, including the failure to detect the shooter’s drone in the air over the rally site. On the one-year anniversary of the Butler assassination attempt, the Secret Service announced reforms, including the creation of an Aviation and Airspace Security division “dedicated to maintaining the agency’s critical aerial monitoring capabilities.”
Ellis’ lawsuit detailing his experiences with Cheatle at the helm, which RCP reported on last year, reads like a case study of the agency leaders’ long-running tendency to engage in petty squabbles, favoritism, and retaliation instead of keeping its focus on the big picture – its mission of protecting presidents, vice presidents, Cabinet members, and former presidents.
In a detailed 63-page opinion, Sullivan determined that Ellis had sufficiently alleged civil rights violations.
The judge was unpersuaded by DHS attorneys’ arguments, including that Ellis didn’t truly suffer any adverse action because he never lost his salary and that he didn’t exhaust administrative remedies on his charges before filing suit.
DHS attorneys also argued that federal employees are held to a higher standard than those in the private sector when it comes to experiencing adverse actions. Sullivan dismissed this last argument as one that has repeatedly failed in previous court decisions.
“As discussed below,” the judge wrote, “this theory has been rejected by every judge on this court to have considered it.”
Ellis’ attorney, David Blum of Alan Lescht & Associates, P.C., told RCP: “We look forward to litigating the merits of this case.”
The Secret Service has declined comment on Ellis’ case and ignored several separate questions about the agency’s history of resisting efforts to implement an extensive aerial drone program and the readiness level of that program. Prior to the assassination attempts, the Secret Service had an aerial drone program, but it was limited in scope, sources told RCP.
“As a matter of longstanding policy, the U.S. Secret Service does not comment on pending or proposed litigation,” a spokesperson told RCP last year. The agency did not respond to a request for comment on Sullivan’s ruling.
The lawsuit depicts a corrosive Secret Service culture in which leaders engage in intimidation, and supervisors ignore harassment reports, neglect investigations, and retaliate if personnel complain of mistreatment.
Ellis argues that Cheatle, then serving as the head of the Secret Service’s Office of Protective Operations, backed by human resource managers and other bureaucrats, blocked and retaliated against him for trying to transfer jobs to work full-time on a special drone project he was developing, according to three sources in the Secret Service community.
Some of these agency officials, Ellis asserts, also retaliated against him for lodging complaints about personal and inaccurate attacks based on his perceived religion.
Cheatle and a group of senior Secret Service officials went to great lengths to prevent Ellis from serving in a key role in the Airspace Security Branch of the Secret Service’s Special Operations Division, which oversees the drone program, according to court records Ellis filed last year.
Instead, the agency wanted to send him to the vice presidential detail to help provide security for Kamala Harris, her husband, and their extended family, and wouldn’t budge when he appealed the decision – even though the agency had formally listed the airspace position as “hard-to-staff.”
Ellis, who is black but eschews racial divisions, referring to himself as “American,” filed suit against DHS in April 2024 and amended the complaint in late July to outline a pattern of harassment. The lawsuit accuses agency officials of orchestrating an elaborate scheme, beginning in 2021, to undermine his career in retaliation for his efforts to transfer to an Airspace position. Ellis wanted the position so he could play a direct role in establishing and implementing “a special project involving drones,” according to the lawsuit.
Ellis’ lawsuit alleges that those who conspired against him include Cheatle; then-human resources head Susan Yarwood; Elizabeth Lewis, Yarwood’s then-deputy; then-Technical Services Division Assistant Director Darren Giacolleto; then-Human Resources supervisors Danielle Watson and Thomas Hamman; and others.
Specific Leadership Failures
Incidents of harassment Ellis endured include:
A fellow agent, whom the lawsuit identifies as Michael Hackney, allegedly used a training exercise to physically attack him and pulled a live weapon on him as a joke while he was working a protection detail. Ellis reported the incident to his superior, who took no action, telling him, “The juice isn’t worth the squeeze,” according to the lawsuit. Two years later, Hackney allegedly aggressively drove his SUV toward Ellis and his pregnant wife and one-year-old son as though he was going to run them over.
Another agent, who Ellis says witnessed the aggressive driving threat, warned him not to report Hackney because “that’s how some people joke.”
Ellis, a Christian, believes his complaints about Hackney, whom he said also misidentified him as Muslim and called him a “terrorist” based on his Islamic-sounding first name, contributed to his failure to land bids for two hard-to-staff positions in the agency’s Airspace branch, even though he argues he was eligible for both positions.
The lawsuit further alleges:
A senior official acknowledged agency-wide racism and backed Ellis’ 2021 drone position bid, calling him the “number one selection,” but failed to counter Human Resources’ disqualification. Lewis and Yarwood deemed him ineligible despite his qualifications and the endorsement.
After Ellis appealed that decision, Danielle Watson twisted his frustrated comment about the process “driving him to drink” into cynical claims that he admitted to abusing alcohol. Yarwood, after consulting Lewis, directed Watson to draft a memorandum falsely alleging Ellis admitted to drinking, family disputes, and related issues – proven false by video evidence. The agency then placed Ellis on administrative leave and forced him to surrender his gear while recommending a nine-month sobriety program. Those decisions were overturned shortly afterward, but nonetheless damaged Ellis’ reputation.
Cheatle supported the phony alcoholism narrative, recommending administrative leave and the sobriety program, and allegedly provided misleading statements in an affidavit about the sources of information that informed her decisions.
Giacoletto denied Ellis’ appeal the day the agency imposed the administrative leave and was involved in the initial disqualification.
A supervisor warned Ellis of “a lot of trouble” for pursuing grievances, while others told him that the real source of his troubles with the agency was his pro-drone advocacy.
These incidents, Ellis claims, reflect a Secret Service pattern of weaponizing human resources processes against those who complain of mistreatment, a similar refrain among numerous former agents and the lawyers who have represented them.
Connections to Broader Secret Service Challenges
Despite new leadership, the Secret Service has experienced a string of continued lapses and embarrassing incidents. As RCP first reported, two female officers were involved in a physical fight outside former President Obama’s D.C. residence; Secret Service officers also missed a Glock while screening bags at Trump’s Virginia golf course; a Uniformed Division officer fell asleep on the job and left his fully automatic rifle unattended while protecting the United Nations General Assembly in New York; and an agent openly celebrated Charlie Kirk’s assassination in a Facebook post. Trump’s detail also allowed protesters at a D.C. restaurant to get close to Trump and several of his top Cabinet members and taunt them.
Ellis’ lawsuit alleges that his blocked transfer to a leadership position in the drone program quite possibly hindered advancements that might have prevented the 2024 Trump assassination attempts. A Senate report on the Butler failures faulted Secret Service leaders for denying counter-drone requests and technical failures . Then-Acting Director Ronald Rowe admitted to lapses during congressional testimony last year.
Ellis himself ties the Butler failures to Cheatle and prior leaders’ DEI priorities, arguing they favored quotas over merit, eroding standards and morale and agent retention. As the discovery process proceeds, the case may force DHS to address these leadership decisions.
“The relentless push by Secret Service leadership to meet diversity quotas has compromised our ability to meet our protectees’ needs,” Ellis said in a video posted on the Independent Women’s Forum website. IWF is a nonprofit conservative advocacy organization.
Despite efforts to dismantle DEI under the current administration, Ellis cautions that it will take years for the agency to recover.
“If we do not clean out the rot, our people – and our protectees – will pay the price, ” he warned.
Tyler Durden
Mon, 12/22/2025 - 18:25 Close
Mon, 22 Dec 2025 23:00:00 +0000 MSM Belatedly Details Syrian 'Prisons Filling Up Again, Torture' Under Jolani Regime
MSM Belatedly Details Syrian 'Prisons Filling Up Again, Torture' Under Jolani Regime
More than a year after Bashar al-Assad's overthrow, and some mainstream media outlets are finally taking a critical eye to the new Sharaa/Jolani re
Read more.....
MSM Belatedly Details Syrian 'Prisons Filling Up Again, Torture' Under Jolani Regime
More than a year after Bashar al-Assad's overthrow, and some mainstream media outlets are finally taking a critical eye to the new Sharaa/Jolani regime and its human rights abuses, religious oppression, and war crimes.
While the West and Gulf countries celebrated Assad fleeting the country for Russia in December 2024, with the al-Qaeda linked Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) taking over Damascus, the new government quickly got to work persecuting, massacring, and disappearing religious minorities .
Source: Christian Science Monitory/Getty Images
First Alawites were targeted last spring, then Christians, and more recently Druze - or anyone not acting according to the HTS brand of fanatical Islam and jihad. But CNN and other establishment news outlets have 'moved on' and are turning a blind eye.
But somewhat surprisingly, Reuters has issued a new report which highlights the country simply traded Assad's 'notorious prisons' for Jolani's dark dungeons :
The first wave of detentions in the new Syria came almost immediately – just after victorious rebels flung open the doors of Bashar al-Assad’s notorious prisons.
As ordinary Syrians stormed detention complexes last December to search for loved ones who had vanished under Assad’s rule, thousands of the deposed dictator’s soldiers who had abandoned their posts – officers and conscripts alike – were taken prisoner by the rebels.
Then came the second wave in late winter: Hundreds of people from Assad’s Alawite sect, mostly men, were seized by the new authorities throughout Syria . Their detentions spiked after a brief uprising along the coast in March killed dozens of security forces, sparking reprisals that left nearly 1,500 Alawites dead. Those arrests continue to this day.
In the next wave to be targeted for mass detentions by the new government were Druze, especially after fighting and unrest was sparked in the south between locals and Jolani's Sunni security forces.
Reuters underscores, "Prisons and lockups that jailed tens of thousands of people during Assad’s rule are now crowded with Syrians detained by President Ahmed al-Sharaa’s security forces and held without formal charges ."
The outlet has compiled names of over 800 Syrians held under such circumstances, and says the true figure is likely much higher.
The secular rule of the Assad family over the years consistently saw widespread accusations of torture happening at government detention sites. But again, it seems the country has simply moved to jails now overseen by torturers who are bearded jihadists :
In December 2024, Sharaa pledged to “close the notorious prisons” of the fallen dictator. But Reuters found that at least 28 prisons and lockups from the Assad era have been operational again over the past year.
Asked for comment on the findings of this report, Syria’s Information Ministry said that the need to bring those involved in Assad’s abuses to justice explained many of the detentions and the reopening of some facilities.
“The number of people involved in crimes and violations in Syria under the former regime is very large, given the scale of the abuses committed,” the ministry said. “There are past crimes , involvement in new violations, and threats to security and stability by those associated with the regime, in addition to other crimes.”
So it seems this is more about mass revenge against non-Muslim communities, and detainees interviewed by Reuters say they've been insulted with fanatical and religious language. "You are infidels, you are pigs," one Syrian farmer who was arrested by the new regime described.
Another Alawite man recounted, "Everyone ordered me to bark like a dog . They beat me with the butts of their rifles, their fists, their boots . I thought my life was coming to an end."
Reuters also included the story of a Christian merchant who was tortured and killed under the new regime :
Among the dead was a detainee at Kafr Sousa, a 59-year-old Christian merchant named Milad al-Farkh . His family said he was arrested on August 24 on allegations of hiding weapons, working as an arms dealer and selling expired meat at his butcher shop.
Al-Farkh’s family described the arrest as an attempt to pressure them into paying $10,000 in protection money.
Two weeks later, an inmate at Kafr Sousa managed to get a call out to the family to tell them al-Farkh was near death from torture . The call from the hospital morgue came the next day, on September 9, the family said. One relative was arrested for demanding an autopsy .
Sadly, Syria's new rulers - who resemble ISIS or al Qaeda in their words, actions, appearance, and beliefs - were installed with the help of the US, Turkey, and Gulf allies .
Below: "Details of the real-life experiences of the Orthodox Christian families and others who suffered at the hands of radical terrorists supported by countries and groups from outside Syria ."
President Trump even recently boasted, "It’s been amazing what — what’s taken place in Syria. We got rid of Assad ."
Amer Matar, a journalist and filmmaker briefly detained by ruling HTS forces this year has observed, "Those ruling today decided to turn the Assad prisons into new prisons... It's the most absurd thing I have ever seen ."
Tyler Durden
Mon, 12/22/2025 - 18:00 Close
Mon, 22 Dec 2025 22:40:00 +0000 State Department Recalls 29 Biden-Appointed Ambassadors
State Department Recalls 29 Biden-Appointed Ambassadors
State Department Recalls 29 Biden-Appointed Ambassadors
Authored by Jackson Richman via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),
The United States has recalled almost 30 career diplomats from ambassadorial roles.
A sign for the State Department on the outside of the Harry S. Truman Federal Building in Washington on July 11, 2025. Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images
All of the ambassadors were appointed under President Joe Biden and are senior members of the State Department’s Foreign Service , which produces career diplomats to serve in Washington and abroad.
These diplomats tend to stay in their roles for a few years and usually do not leave when there is a change in administration, as they are trained to carry out the president’s agenda, no matter which party occupies the White House.
The ambassadors were informed last week that their tenures will end in January. Those affected by the recalls will return to Washington and are able to take on other assignments.
A State Department official told The Epoch Times that ambassadors serve at the pleasure of the president.
“This is a standard process in any administration ,” the official said.
“An ambassador is a personal representative of the president, and it is the president’s right to ensure that he has individuals in these countries who advance the America First agenda.”
Politico first reported the ambassadorial recalls.
“One of the reasons why President Trump was elected is sort of an understanding among the American people that our foreign policy was in need of a complete recalibration because the world has dramatically changed,” Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on Dec. 19
“Many of the institutions, policies, assumptions that our foreign policy was operating under were built upon a world that no longer existed, and it required us to re-examine that.”
The 29 ambassadors recalled included 15 from Africa: Algeria (Elizabeth Aubin), Burundi (Lisa Peterson), Cameroon (Christopher Lamora), Cape Verde (Jennifer Adams), Egypt (Herro Mustafa Garg), Gabon (Vernelle Trim FitzPatrick), Ivory Coast (Jessica Davis Ba), Madagascar (Claire A. Pierangelo), Mauritius (Henry Jardine), Niger (Kathleen FitzGibbon), Nigeria (Richard Mills Jr.), Rwanda (Eric W. Kneedler), Senegal (Michael Raynor), Somalia (Richard Riley), and Uganda (William Popp).
There were eight recalled from the Asia-Pacific region: Fiji (Marie Damour), Laos (Heather Variava), Marshall Islands (Laura Stone), Nepal (Dean Thompson), Papua New Guinea (Ann Marie Yastishock), the Philippines (MaryKay Loss Carlson), Sri Lanka (Julie Chung), and Vietnam (Marc Knapper).
Four of the recalled ambassadors were from Europe: Armenia (Kristina Kvien), Macedonia (Angela Aggeler), Montenegro (Judy Reinke), and Slovakia (Gautam Rana).
Two were from the Americas: Guatemala (Tobin Bradley) and Suriname (Robert Faucher).
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
Tyler Durden
Mon, 12/22/2025 - 17:40 Close
Mon, 22 Dec 2025 22:00:00 +0000 Japan To Resume Operations At World's Largest Nuclear Plant 15 Years After Fukushima Disaster
Japan To Resume Operations At World's Largest Nuclear Plant 15 Years After Fukushima Disaster
Japan To Resume Operations At World's Largest Nuclear Plant 15 Years After Fukushima Disaster
Authored by Rachel Roberts via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),
Japan is set to resume operations at the world’s largest nuclear power plant, marking a key development in the country’s return to nuclear energy almost 15 years after the Fukushima disaster.
Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO)'s Kashiwazaki Kariwa nuclear power plant, one of the world's largest nuclear facilities, stands along the seaside in Kashiwazaki, Niigata prefecture, Japan, on Dec. 21, 2025. Issei Kato/Reuters
Kashiwazaki-Kariwa, located around 136 miles northwest of Tokyo, was among 54 reactors shut down after the nuclear disaster that occurred after the crippling of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant in Japan in March 2011. The disaster occurred following the 9.0 magnitude Great East Japan Earthquake, which led to a large tsunami.
Japan has now resumed nuclear power generation at 14 of the 33 plants that remain operable, as part of its shift away from reliance on fossil fuels.
Kashiwazaki-Kariwa will be the first operated by Tokyo Electric Power Co (TEPCO), which also ran the Fukushima plant.
Operations can resume immediately following Niigata prefecture’s assembly passing a vote of confidence on Niigata Gov. Hideyo Hanazumi on Dec. 22.
Hanazumi, who backed the restart last month, said after the vote, “This is a milestone, but this is not the end.”
“There is no end in terms of ensuring the safety of Niigata residents ,” he said.
Bags of radiation-contaminated soil are gathered at a temporary storage field in Okuma town of Fukushima prefecture on Feb. 19, 2025. Yuichi Yamazaki / AFP via Getty Images
Deep Divisions
The assembly session revealed the community’s deep divisions over the restart, in spite of lawmakers giving their backing to Hanazumi.
“This is nothing other than a political settlement that does not take into account the will of the Niigata residents,” an assembly member told fellow lawmakers during the session.
Around 300 protesters gathered outside the assembly holding billboards with signs expressing their opposition to the resumption in operations, such as “No Nukes” and “Support Fukushima.”
“I am truly angry from the bottom of my heart,” Kenichiro Ishiyama, a 77-year-old protester from Niigata city, told reporters after the vote.
“If something was to happen at the plant, we would be the ones to suffer the consequences.”
The Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant, damaged by a massive March 11, 2011, earthquake and tsunami, is seen from the nearby Ukedo fishing port in Namie town, northeastern Japan, on Aug. 24, 2023. Eugene Hoshiko/AP Photo
Evacuation Effects
An almost 50-foot tsunami disabled the power supply and cooling of three of Fukushima Daiichi reactors, causing a nuclear accident rated level 7 on the International Nuclear and Radiological Event Scale, with a high level of radioactive release occurring.
The evacuation has been criticized for having done more harm than good, due to the effects of stress on those displaced, particularly on elderly people. Experts have concluded that the loss of life would have been far smaller if all residents had done nothing at all, or were sheltered in place, instead of being evacuated.
“We remain firmly committed to never repeating such an accident and ensuring Niigata residents never experience anything similar, ” said TEPCO spokesperson Masakatsu Takata, who declined to comment on timing.
TEPCO pledged earlier this year to pour 100 billion yen ($641 million) into the district over the next 10 years as it fought to win the support of Niigata’s wary residents. The company’s shares rose by 2 percent in Monday’s afternoon trade in Tokyo, higher than the Nikkei index as a whole, which was up 1.8 percent.
A survey in October found 60 percent of residents did not think conditions for the restart had been met, with almost 70 percent worried about TEPCO operating the plant.
Farmer Ayako Oga, 52, was forced to flee the area around the Fukushima plant in 2011, along with around 160,000 other evacuees.
“We know firsthand the risk of a nuclear accident and cannot dismiss it ,” said Oga, who still suffers from post-traumatic stress-like symptoms following the disaster.
Hanazumi has said he hopes Japan will eventually be able to reduce its reliance on nuclear power.
“I want to see an era where we don’t have to rely on energy sources that cause anxiety,” he said last month.
The Dec. 22 vote represented the final hurdle before TEPCO restarts the first reactor, which alone could boost electricity supply to the Tokyo area by 2 percent, according to an estimate by Japan’s trade ministry.
Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi delivers her first policy speech in the parliament, in Tokyo, Japan, on Oct. 24, 2025. Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo/Reuters
AI Driving Energy Demand
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has expressed her support for nuclear restarts to counter the cost of imported fossil fuels, which account for 60–70 percent of the country’s total electricity generation.
Last year, Japan spent 10.7 trillion yen ($68 billion) on imported liquefied natural gas and coal, representing a tenth of the country’s total import costs.
Despite its declining population, Japan expects energy demand to rise over the next decade, due to the power needs of artificial intelligence (AI) data processing centers.
The country has set a target of doubling the portion of nuclear power in its electricity mix to 20 percent by 2040.
Kashiwazaki-Kariwa’s total capacity is 8.2 GW, which is enough to power a few million homes.
Japan’s top nuclear power operator, Kansai Electric Power, said in July it would begin conducting surveys for a reactor in western Japan, in what is planned to be the country’s first new plant since the Fukushima disaster.
Reuters contributed to this report.
Tyler Durden
Mon, 12/22/2025 - 17:00 Close
Mon, 22 Dec 2025 21:40:00 +0000 Mapping The Chances Of A White Christmas
Mapping The Chances Of A White Christmas
A white Christmas is one of those holiday experiences that feels universal—until you look at the weather history and actual odds of snowfall on Christmas Day across the United States.
Read more.....
Mapping The Chances Of A White Christmas
A white Christmas is one of those holiday experiences that feels universal—until you look at the weather history and actual odds of snowfall on Christmas Day across the United States.
This map, via Visual Capitalist's Niccolo Conte, shows the historic probability across the U.S. of seeing at least one inch of snow on the ground on December 25, using data from the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) is based on the latest U.S. Climate Normals (1991–2020).
These “normals” are three-decade averages built from observations at nearly 15,000 stations, offering a consistent baseline for what’s typical in different parts of the country.
Latitude Matters Most For a Snow on Christmas Day
If you want the simplest rule of thumb for a white Christmas, head north. The northern Plains, Upper Midwest, and large stretches of the interior Northeast generally sit in higher probability bands than the rest of the country.
The data table below features state averages of NOAA’s full 5,000+ row dataset of specific station probabilities of at least one inch of snow:
State
Average probability of at least one inch of snow on Christmas day
Alabama
0.1%
Alaska
84.3%
Arizona
4.1%
Arkansas
1.3%
California
4.4%
Colorado
48.7%
Connecticut
35.2%
Delaware
6.5%
Florida
0.0%
Georgia
0.4%
Hawaii
0.0%
Idaho
62.1%
Illinois
27.2%
Indiana
26.0%
Iowa
46.9%
Kansas
15.0%
Kentucky
6.6%
Louisiana
0.1%
Maine
74.4%
Maryland
11.2%
Massachusetts
35.8%
Michigan
64.8%
Minnesota
75.2%
Mississippi
0.2%
Missouri
13.7%
Montana
56.7%
Nebraska
35.1%
Nevada
17.8%
New Hampshire
70.1%
New Jersey
13.7%
New Mexico
11.3%
New York
55.9%
North Carolina
3.1%
North Dakota
77.3%
Ohio
26.8%
Oklahoma
3.1%
Oregon
14.4%
Pennsylvania
34.2%
Rhode Island
26.9%
South Carolina
0.6%
South Dakota
55.5%
Tennessee
2.8%
Texas
0.8%
Utah
46.2%
Vermont
76.9%
Virginia
8.6%
Washington
26.9%
West Virginia
26.8%
Wisconsin
66.3%
Wyoming
56.0%
Areas around the Great Lakes can also improve their odds thanks to lake-effect snow, which can build persistent snowpack when cold air is in place.
Meanwhile, the further south you go, the more quickly the map shifts into darker shades—signaling that a white Christmas is historically uncommon.
Mountains Upgrade White Christmas Probabilities
Elevation can change the forecast more than any state line. The Rockies and the Sierra Nevada stand out as some of the most reliable places for holiday snow cover, with many high-altitude areas reaching the upper probabilities of Christmas Day snowfall .
The Cascades and ranges across Idaho also show strong odds, reinforcing how quickly temperatures drop with height.
Even in the East, the Appalachians make a visible difference—higher terrain can hold onto snow that the surrounding lowlands doesn’t.
Why the South and Coasts Often Miss White Christmas
Across the Gulf Coast, Deep South, and much of the Sun Belt, the map largely sits in the 0–10% range. Warmer winter temperatures mean snow is rarer to begin with—and even when it does fall, it’s less likely to stick around long enough to still be on the ground by Christmas morning.
Coastal climates often tilt milder as well, especially where ocean air moderates winter cold.
And for non-contiguous states, the story is mixed: Alaska’s station network is too sparse to confidently fill in the entire map, while Hawaii’s odds remain firmly at zero.
In other words, the classic “white Christmas” is real—but it’s also highly regional. If snow is the goal, history suggests two reliable strategies: chase colder latitudes, or climb into the mountains.
For more Christmas-related visualizations, check out this graphic which ranks Spotify’s most streamed Christmas songs on Voronoi.
Tyler Durden
Mon, 12/22/2025 - 16:40 Close
Mon, 22 Dec 2025 21:25:00 +0000 Watch Live: Trump Makes Announcement At Mar-A-Lago With Secretary Of War Pete Hegseth
Watch Live: Trump Makes Announcement At Mar-A-Lago With Secretary Of War Pete Hegseth
President Trump is scheduled to make a public announcement at 4:30 p.m. EST at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida, alongside Secretary of War Pete
Read more.....
Watch Live: Trump Makes Announcement At Mar-A-Lago With Secretary Of War Pete Hegseth
President Trump is scheduled to make a public announcement at 4:30 p.m. EST at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida, alongside Secretary of War Pete Hegseth and Secretary of the Navy John Phelan.
No details have been released about the substance of the announcement, which comes as the holiday week begins with Christmas Eve just days away.
The timing follows a flurry of defense and national security developments. Last week, Trump signed the annual defense policy bill into law, authorizing roughly $900 billion for the Pentagon. Since then, the administration has escalated gunboat diplomacy in the Caribbean, raised new national security concerns over offshore wind farms, and sparked diplomatic backlash after appointing a special envoy, which prompted an angry response from Denmark’s foreign minister earlier today.
It is worth noting that The Epoch Times expects the announcement to focus on shipbuilding, a fitting topic given the Pentagon's strategic repositioning across the Western world and the increased emphasis on hemispheric defense. We have informed readers about how Goldman is profiting from this historic realignment (see here ).
Given the news flow, here are several topics Trump, Hegseth, and Phelan could address:
Watch Live:
VIDEO
. . .
Tyler Durden
Mon, 12/22/2025 - 16:25 Close
Mon, 22 Dec 2025 21:15:00 +0000 "Power That Goes Unpunished Only Learns One Lesson: It Can Do Whatever It Wants..."
"Power That Goes Unpunished Only Learns One Lesson: It Can Do Whatever It Wants..."
"Power That Goes Unpunished Only Learns One Lesson: It Can Do Whatever It Wants..."
Authored by James Howard Kunstler,
Seeing Is Believing (Not)
"...power that goes unpunished only learns one lesson: it can do whatever it wants."
- Roger Stone
Has it occurred to you that the video footage of the hallway outside Jeffrey Epstein’s prison cell that shows nobody coming or going around the hour that he “killed himself” could be fake? All authorities from the FBI to The New York Times pretend that the date-and-time stamped video is authentic, and that it proves nobody went into his cell to kill him. Nobody has questioned this. How difficult would it be to take a few hours of alternate closed-circuit TV footage of the same drab hallway from the same position, making sure nobody got on-camera, and then stick a fabricated date-and-time stamp on it? Do you suppose that the intel agencies don’t have the capacity to fabricate that sort of evidence?
At this point, seeing what the capabilities are for AI to compose any kind of picture — or even what years’ old Photoshop programs can do — why would you suppose that anything in the Epstein files now being released might not be subject to fiddling by persons and parties with an interest? Even one second of video showing a notable person in somebody’s arms, or performing an illicit act with a child, a mere glimpse of such a thing, would be A) easy to manufacture, and B) guaranteed to create a mighty shit-storm of a political crisis that would steal everybody’s attention from now until the Rockies tumble.
The Epstein files looks like the end of the seeing-is-believing phase of human history. Whatever dazzling fakes you’re watching on “X” these days, consider that the deep fake abilities of government agencies are a mile ahead of commercially-available AI tech that any jamoke on TikTok can use. I wouldn’t believe a single goshdarn thing coming out of these files that preoccupy the nation right now — while many momentous events unfold at home and around the world unnoticed, or get crowded out by the hoo-hah over Jeffrey Epstein’s sketchy doings. The further forward in time this goes, the worse you can expect it to get.
And why wouldn’t it be in the intel community’s interest to keep this hoo-hah going as long and hard as possible, so as to distract the public from some of the other problems besetting the republic — such as the intel community’s obdurately sociopathic and seditious activities against that very republic?
Talk might be cheap, too, but there’s plenty of chatter on the Internet these days to the effect that a claque of players with familiar names, currently under suspicion of major misdeeds, are secretly running critical sections of the government as a kind of rogue directorate.
For instance, former CIA Director John Brennan, whose front-job for years has been as a “national security contributor” to MSNBC/NBC.
Do you suppose he sits around his home-office all the livelong day and doesn’t talk to any of his old colleagues? How else would he acquire any “national security” info to report on cable TV? And might you wonder whether these conversations, if they occur, include not just queries and postulations but instructions? That is, orders. . . for people to carry out such-and-such activities? Or suggestions of orders?
And, of course, John Brennan is just one character in a basket of deplorable former intel officials who conceivably wield influence, or issue orders, in the vast turbid, stagnant, septic backwaters of America’s intel swamp.
To name a few: Jim Clapper, Michael Hayden, Mike Pompeo, Avril Haines, Leon Panetta, Gina Haspel. Just add the rest of the list of bigshots who signed the infamous 2020 Hunter Biden / Russian disinfo “open letter.”
And dozens more including a big gang of ex-FBI and DOJ with cases pending for activities that have the shape and smell of a coup to overthrow the US government (that they served.
Do you suppose any of them might have an interest in stirring the pot of cognitive dissonance that is making it nearly impossible for the people of this land to understand what the fuck is going on around them?
You’ve got to wonder what John Ratcliffe thinks about all this (and about the 21,000 employees of the CIA he supposedly directs). And what Tulsi Gabbard knows about the sundry communications flying around the American digital ether.
And what fresh treachery is yet being launched by this coterie of scoundrels. And now imagine how difficult life must be for one President Donald Trump. Just sayin’.
Tyler Durden
Mon, 12/22/2025 - 16:15 Close
Mon, 22 Dec 2025 20:45:00 +0000 Maduro Must Go, DHS Secretary Noem Says, Vows More Tanker Intercepts
Maduro Must Go, DHS Secretary Noem Says, Vows More Tanker Intercepts
Washington is making clear - in case there was still lingering confusion in anyone's mind - that we have entered the "Maduro must go" phase of looming regime chang
Read more.....
Maduro Must Go, DHS Secretary Noem Says, Vows More Tanker Intercepts
Washington is making clear - in case there was still lingering confusion in anyone's mind - that we have entered the "Maduro must go" phase of looming regime change operations targeting Venezuela.
A fresh Monday statement from Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem makes clear that "We're not just interdicting these ships, but we’re also sending a message around the world that the illegal activity that Maduro is participating in cannot stand, he needs to be gone , and that we will stand up for our people."
Source: @Sec_Noem
"This is an enemy of the United States that we're taking strong action against , and our Coast Guard is doing a rock-star job going out there and interdicting these ships safely, but also sending a strong message that we will stop this flow and we will continue to stand up for our country," Noem said.
The Coast Guard falls directly under Noem’s jurisdiction, and while it has been the Pentagon doing the drug boat strikes with drones, the Coast Guard has been seeking to intercept and take control of a third 'illicit' tanker in waters off Venezuela.
Sources have told Bloomberg that US forces are still in pursuit of the Bella 1 tanker, which was en route to Venezuela to be loaded with oil. Amid conflicting reports that it had been boarded by American troops, US officials later told The New York Times that the Bella 1 refused to be boarded and fled to the northeast, into the Atlantic Ocean.
It remains unclear whether the Bella 1 will ultimately "get away" or not :
U.S. forces approached the Bella 1 late on Saturday. But it refused to be boarded, instead turning and creating what one U.S. official described as “an active pursuit.”
By Sunday, the Bella 1 was still fleeing the Caribbean and was broadcasting distress signals to nearby ships, according to radio messages reviewed by The New York Times and first posted online by a maritime blogger. The vessel was traveling northeast into the Atlantic Ocean, more than 300 miles away from Antigua and Barbuda, the messages showed. By Sunday evening, Bella 1 had sent over 75 alerts.
It is not clear what steps the United States is taking to pursue the ship. The White House said Mr. Trump would make an announcement on Monday afternoon with his defense secretary and his navy secretary but provided no indication of the subject.
These tanker interdict actions have clearly been stepped up, and more will likely follow, raising the stakes also as China and Russia could react with strong condemnations :
The Coast Guard on Saturday stopped and boarded the Centuries, a tanker that had recently loaded Venezuelan oil, reportedly for a Chinese trader. The U.S. authorities did not have a seizure warrant for the Panamanian-flagged vessel and said they were verifying the validity of its registration . It was unclear how long the ship would be detained.
On Dec. 10, the United States had seized another tanker, the Skipper, which was transporting Venezuelan crude but had earlier carried Iranian oil . The Skipper has been escorted to Galveston, Texas.
This month the US strikes on alleged trafficking boats have have killed about 100 people total since early September. While these actions have remained deeply controversial, denounced in many quarters as 'extra-judicial killings' - Congress has essential neutered itself.
Recent bills before the House have sought war powers for Congress, which would have required President Trump to seek Congressional approval for further military action; however, these efforts have been voted down, and the strike down was largely bipartisan.
* * *
Enter the "days are numbered" rhetoric on Venezuelan strongman Maduro. There's been speculation he could flee to places like Qatar or even Russia , like someone else did a year ago...
via Enab Baladi
Tyler Durden
Mon, 12/22/2025 - 15:45 Close
Mon, 22 Dec 2025 20:25:00 +0000 Trump Ditches 'The Weave', Delivers Sales Pitch Susie Wiles Asked For
Trump Ditches 'The Weave', Delivers Sales Pitch Susie Wiles Asked For
Trump Ditches 'The Weave', Delivers Sales Pitch Susie Wiles Asked For
Authored by Philip Wegmann via The RealClearPolitics ,
White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles directed President Trump to the teleprompter to deliver specific and scripted remarks in prime-time – rather than the off-the-cuff kind he favors on the stump – about affordability, the accomplishments of his first term, and the challenges ahead.
He delivered a rally speech in miniature Wednesday night, minus only his signature “weave.” Said the president of the myriad of problems facing the nation from high prices and lingering inflation to rising rents and unaffordable healthcare, “It’s not the Republicans’ fault – it’s the Democrats’ fault.” That was the throughline of the entire message. And it is one his party was desperate for him to deliver as they anxiously await the midterm elections next year.
While Trump provide little that was new in terms of policy, the president did change his tone. He admitted that problems persist for everyday Americans despite his best efforts.
“Eleven months ago, I inherited a mess, ” he said of his predecessor, President Joe Biden, then immediately added “and I am fixing it.” A long list of accomplishments followed. Among them: Wages are up, inflation down, and the border sealed. Like a chairman of a corporate board delivering an end-of-year report, he ran through a list of promises made on the campaign and promises kept once returned to the White House.
“We’re doing what nobody thought was even possible, not even remotely possible. There has never, frankly, been anything like it,” he said, repeating a popular line from his rallies. “One year ago, our country was dead. We were absolutely dead. Our country was ready to fail – totally failed. Now we’re the hottest country anywhere in the world. ”
The president relishes the role of a cheerleader. It has led to blind spots, however, as his long-promised “Golden Age” has yet to trickle down to lower and middleclass tables. Yes, he succeeded in getting many of his marquee domestic policy priorities, encapsulated in the One Big Beautiful Bill, into law. No, the public is still not feeling it despite his insistence on an American renaissance. So say the polls.
Trump remains underwater with more Americans now disapproving, 53.8%, than approving, 43.6%, of his job performance. More worrisome for the White House, according to the RealClearPolitics Average, a majority of the country, 62.8%, disapprove of how Trump has handled inflation even as inflation has mostly stabilized one year into his second stint as president.
Inflation dropped to just 2.8% over the past year compared to its peak under Biden at 9%. Wages have increased as well, and some prices, like the cost of a gallon of gas or a dozen eggs, have come down. Despite those changes, Trump found himself in a position similar to that of Biden when he insisted that the economy remained healthy even as the public did not feel the improvement.
And like the president before him, Trump asked for patience in so many words. The best, he said, was yet to come: “We are poised for an economic boom, the likes of which the world has never seen.”
One thing Trump did not say? He did not argue that affordability amounted to “a Democratic hoax.” Earlier this month in Pennsylvania, he repeated that line before adding a canned explanation about how believing Democrats on questions of the economy was akin to “trusting Bonnie and Clyde with public safety.” The cheerleader in chief instead recognized on Wednesday night that Americans are feeling pain and promised speedy relief, especially come tax season.
Christmas will come in April, the president argued as he touted no tax on tips, no taxes on overtime, and no tax on Social Security benefits. “Under these cuts, many families will be saving between $11,000 and $20,000 a year,” he said, “and next spring is projected to be the largest tax refund season of all time.”
Democrats did not make much of Trump’s deflections.
“People are tired of him trying to throw President Joe Biden under the bus,” said House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries. During an interview on MS NOW (formerly MSNBC), the Democrat argued that Trump owned the anxieties of the current economy. “What’s been clear in public opinion, survey after public opinion survey, the American people know this is Donald Trump’s economy. This is the Republicans’ economy. And it’s been a complete and total disaster.”
Republicans are hoping that voters make up their minds as they file their tax returns, perhaps none more so than Speaker Mike Johnson who believes that tax cuts will “turbocharge the economy” and help him keep his House majority in the process. That’s not likely, however. Only two presidents in the last century, Franklin Delano Roosevelt and George W. Bush, have added to their congressional majority during midterm elections.
A foreign war could make that already difficult task much harder . Before the speech began, Secretary of State Marco Rubio was spotted by reporters pacing outside of the Oval Office. His presence fueled speculation that perhaps Trump would announce a further military escalation in the conflict with Venezuela. The administration continues to sink alleged drug boats coming from that country, and this week the president announced a blockade of Venezuelan oil tankers. But there was no new announcement. Caracas was absent from Trump’s remarks, other than a passing reference to ongoing actions against the cartels.
Families of U.S. service members likely gave a sigh of relief at that fact. Members of the military, meanwhile, cheered at the one bit of news that Trump delivered.
“Military service members will receive a special, what we call a ‘warrior dividend’ before Christmas – a warrior dividend,” he said. “In honor of our nation’s founding in 1776 we are sending every soldier $1,776.”
A one-time check is not likely to reverse ongoing fear about the economy. Trump’s populist project hangs in the balance if the national mood does not improve and Republicans do not defy history. Speaker Johnson has been blunt on this front. “If we don’t win the midterm,” the speaker said of Trump in an interview with RealClearPolitics last month, “he won’t have four years of a presidency. It will end at two.”
A number of House Republicans have already announced their retirement, among them Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene – once a stalwart Trump ally. She delivered the White House a stark warning in the form of a stinging rebuke last month during an interview with CBS News.
Tyler Durden
Mon, 12/22/2025 - 15:25 Close
Mon, 22 Dec 2025 20:05:00 +0000 Iran Holds Surprise Missile Drills Near Cities Amid Fears Of New Israel War
Iran Holds Surprise Missile Drills Near Cities Amid Fears Of New Israel War
Iran on Monday is conducting live missiles drills across several areas and cities , with officials telling the world the military will remai
Read more.....
Iran Holds Surprise Missile Drills Near Cities Amid Fears Of New Israel War
Iran on Monday is conducting live missiles drills across several areas and cities , with officials telling the world the military will remain steadfast in defending the country and that its missile program is strictly defensive.
The semi-official Fars news agency confirmed that missile tests were observed in multiple locations, among them Tehran, Isfahan, Mashhad, Khorramabad and Mahabad. Videos were also widely circulated of missiles soaring through the air, visible from urban centers.
Illustrative missile test file image.
"Iran’s defensive capabilities are by no means an issue that can be discussed," Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei stated Monday, at a moment of high tensions with Israel, which has denounced the Islamic Republic's ballistic missile program .
The timing is interesting given Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and US President Donald Trump days ago confirmedd they are scheduled to meet December 29 at the Mar-a-lago estate in Florida.
Netanyahu is expected to press his US counterpart on greenlighting possible new strikes on Iranian ballistic missile sites, which Israel says constitutes a threat to the whole region. The US would unlikely directly back such a plan especially at moment its eye is focused on Venezuela.
All of this has sparked concerns that Israel could see the new Iranian test launches as a direct threat, given hundreds of Iranian missiles and drones rained down on Israeli cities and bases during the June 12-day war.
Axios , for example, reports that "Israeli officials warned the Trump administration over the weekend that an Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps missile exercise could be preparations for a strike on Israel , according to three Israeli and U.S. sources with knowledge of the issue."
An Israeli official was cited as saying, "The chances for an Iranian attack are less than 50%, but nobody is willing to take the risk and just say it is only an exercise ."
And yet this is precisely what Tehran has now projecting - that it's actions are 'defensive' in nature and that it does not act in the way of an aggressor.
A further alarming statement from the Axios report is in the following: "The sources said the biggest risk is a war between Israel and Iran will break as a result of a miscalculation with each side thinking the other plans to attack and try to preempt it."
The June war itself began as a surprise attack by Israel, which the US supported with its own follow-up bombings of three nuclear sites. Tehran was on the very eve of the conflict engaged in good faith negotiations with Washington, and has since complained of the betrayal and obliteration of any shred of trust.
President Trump then touted that he oversaw a ceasefire, and likely US officials behind the scenes pressured Israeli to admit the complete 'obliteration' of Iran's nuclear program , though this remains anything but certain or verified.
Tyler Durden
Mon, 12/22/2025 - 15:05 Close