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Fri, 17 Jul 2026 01:20:00 +0000 "The Killer Chokepoint": China's Rare Earth Squeeze Is Reshaping The Global Economy
"The Killer Chokepoint": China's Rare Earth Squeeze Is Reshaping The Global Economy
Artificial intelligence may be driving headlines, but one of its biggest vulnerabilities is an obscure metal that few people have ever heard of. Ytt
Read more.....
"The Killer Chokepoint": China's Rare Earth Squeeze Is Reshaping The Global Economy
Artificial intelligence may be driving headlines, but one of its biggest vulnerabilities is an obscure metal that few people have ever heard of. Yttrium, a rare earth element first identified more than two centuries ago, has quietly become an essential ingredient in advanced semiconductor manufacturing, according to the Financial Times . As demand for AI chips accelerates, securing reliable access to the metal has become a growing strategic concern.
"We're in the middle of a sea change in terms of how the global economy works."
— Daniel Yergin, vice-chair of S&P Global, describing the shift away from purely efficiency-driven global supply chains.
That concern stems from a simple reality: China dominates the processing and supply of yttrium, along with many other niche metals that modern industries depend on. Over the past several years, Beijing has tightened export restrictions on a number of critical minerals, giving it increasing leverage over global supply chains at a time when geopolitical tensions with the United States remain elevated.
FT writes that while gallium and germanium have received much of the public attention because of their roles in defense systems and electronics, industry executives increasingly argue that yttrium may represent the bigger long-term problem. One semiconductor supplier called it "the killer chokepoint," warning that the industry faces "an existential risk" until alternative supply chains are fully established.
The uncertainty has triggered a rush among manufacturers to secure inventory wherever they can find it. Companies involved in defense, automotive production and semiconductor manufacturing have reportedly been scrambling for supply, with some executives warning that production could begin slowing or even halting before the end of the year if shortages worsen.
Ironically, the West helped create today's imbalance. Decades ago, many countries were happy to outsource mineral processing because it was expensive, environmentally challenging and labor intensive. China invested heavily instead, building refining capacity and subsidizing production while much of the rest of the world allowed those industries to disappear.
The warning signs were visible long before today's trade disputes. Beijing demonstrated its willingness to use rare earth exports as geopolitical leverage during a dispute with Japan in 2010, but many manufacturers continued relying on Chinese suppliers because the economics remained difficult to match elsewhere. Cheap Chinese production became deeply embedded throughout global manufacturing.
"Thirty years ago, [the west] wanted China to do all the processing of these minerals. We didn't want it because it was too polluting. The west handed over the opportunity."
— Tim Biggs, professor at the Camborne School of Mines.
Rather than imposing outright bans, China now largely controls exports through a licensing system that determines who receives shipments and when. Companies say approvals often arrive unpredictably, making it difficult to manage production schedules or plan inventory. The uncertainty has encouraged widespread stockpiling, sending prices sharply higher across several specialty metals.
Western governments are now racing to reverse decades of dependence. Billions of dollars are being directed toward new mining projects, processing facilities and strategic stockpiles in an effort to rebuild domestic supply chains. Policymakers increasingly frame critical minerals as a national security issue rather than simply an economic one.
Even so, rebuilding the industry will take years. New mines require enormous capital, lengthy permitting processes and significant infrastructure before they can begin producing. Industry executives also caution that if too many projects eventually come online at once, markets could swing from shortages to oversupply, undermining the economics of the very investments governments are trying to encourage.
The fight over AI leadership, therefore, extends well beyond software, data centers and cutting-edge chips. It also depends on securing the obscure raw materials that make those technologies possible. After decades of prioritizing efficiency and low costs, governments and manufacturers are now discovering that resilient supply chains may prove just as strategically important as the innovations they support.
Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/16/2026 - 21:20 Close
Fri, 17 Jul 2026 01:02:02 +0000 Watch: Trump Reveals 'Shocking' Election Vulnerabilities Including 278,000 Fraudulent Voters
Watch: Trump Reveals 'Shocking' Election Vulnerabilities Including 278,000 Fraudulent Voters
Watch: Trump Reveals 'Shocking' Election Vulnerabilities Including 278,000 Fraudulent Voters
Update (2110ET): Trump has released several major election-related findings:
Mass declassification event - The White House is releasing previously classified Intelligence Community assessments and reports on election infrastructure spanning January 2020 through June 2026.
Adversary capability finding - A quoted IC assessment states Russia, China, Iran, North Korea "at a minimum," plus non-state groups, have the capability to compromise U.S. election infrastructure.
Weakest-link identification - Centralized data repositories (voter registration databases, pollbooks, official election websites) are assessed as the systems most vulnerable to exploitation and disruption.
Venezuela proof-of-concept - CIA reporting allegedly detailed a Maduro-regime plot to digitally rig Venezuela's 2020 elections using methods that could alter vote totals undetectably "even with an audit."
China's 220 million voter files - The PRC allegedly acquired 220 million U.S. voter files beginning in the 2020 cycle - framed as the largest election-data compromise in history - and assigned a dedicated data exploitation unit to it.
Alleged intelligence cover-up - The document claims IC officials ("Deep State") suppressed knowledge of the China compromise from both the President and the public, despite the IC discovering it in 2020 across 18 states.
Michigan registration fraud files - FBI documents allegedly show canvassers for a Democrat GOTV operation in Muskegon admitted forging registrations, registering nonexistent people, and receiving gift cards tied to application volume after a 2020 Michigan State Police raid.
Enforcement directive - The release asserts the Biden DOJ slow-walked the Michigan case for years; FBI Director Patel is now directed to complete the investigation and pursue prosecutions with DOJ.
278,000 noncitizen registrants - A DHS review of voter rolls and public records allegedly identified ~278,000 noncitizens registered for federal elections, with the White House asserting the true number is higher because Democrat-led states withheld their files.
Policy endgame and rolling campaign - The four pillars converge into an argument for Voter ID, proof of citizenship, and curtailing mail ballots, with a mailing list promising "new findings, new filings, and next steps" - signaling a serialized release-and-enforcement campaign rather than a one-time disclosure.
Watch:
VIDEO
The White House has published election integrity findings built around four pillars, accompanying a presidential address and a declassification of Intelligence Community assessments spanning January 2020 through June 2026. The pillars: (1) IC findings that Russia, China, Iran, North Korea, and non-state actors have the capability to compromise U.S. election infrastructure , with centralized data repositories - registration databases, pollbooks, election websites - assessed as most vulnerable; (2) an alleged CIA-reported Maduro-regime plot to digitally rig Venezuela's 2020 elections using methods undetectable "even with an audit," offered as proof-of-concept that electronic vote manipulation is possible; (3) China's alleged acquisition of 220 million U.S. voter files beginning in 2020 - framed as history's largest election-data compromise, complete with a dedicated exploitation unit - which the document claims "Deep State" intelligence officials concealed from both the President and the public; and (4) FBI files on a 2020 Muskegon, Michigan raid of a Democrat GOTV operation where canvassers allegedly admitted forging registrations for pay, a case the Biden DOJ purportedly slow-walked and which FBI Director Patel is now directed to investigate and prosecute. A DHS review claiming roughly 278,000 noncitizens on federal voter rolls rounds out the disclosures.
The findings describe foreign-held voter data, hackable machines, buried fraud evidence, and noncitizen (and "dead people") registrations against a system with no voter ID, no proof of citizenship, and mass mail balloting - while a mailing list promising "new findings, new filings, and next steps" signals a serialized campaign with litigation or enforcement actions queued behind the document drops.
Update: According to the NY Post 's Caitlin Doornbos, Trump is expected to reveal at least 278,000 noncitizens who are registered to vote in US federal elections - a figure arrived at by the Department of Homeland Security in an upcoming report.
Stay tuned for updates
* * *
President Donald Trump is expected to use a prime-time address Thursday night to discuss election integrity and potentially unveil 'four sets' of newly declassified intelligence concerning alleged foreign interference in recent U.S. elections , according to reports.
MSNBC; Getty Images
Trump is scheduled to address the nation at 9 p.m. ET tonight - only revealing that it would focus on election security and related concerns.
"Our country has to shape up," Trump said during an Oval Office appearance with Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaid. "Without free and fair elections, you don't have a country."
Journalist Paul Sperry reported on X that the address could include allegations that U.S. intelligence and law-enforcement agencies recently uncovered evidence of foreign interference involving China - not Russia - in recent elections, including the 2020 presidential contest.
Citing an unnamed administration source who had reportedly reviewed a draft of Trump's speech, Sperry claimed the evidence includes allegations that Chinese actors penetrated state voter-registration databases and obtained information concerning tens of thousands of voters.
According to Sperry, officials believe the stolen information may have been intended for use in manufacturing fraudulent mail-in ballots supporting Joe Biden. He also claimed that CIA Director John Ratcliffe and FBI Director Kash Patel would appear with Trump or otherwise certify the evidence presented by the administration.
Flashback: Chuck Grassley reveals records showing the FBI spiked a Chinese election interference probe
The documents were reportedly drawn from previously undisclosed or suppressed FBI, CIA, and ODNI records. Sperry's source alleged that the intelligence had been buried as part of a broader effort to conceal Beijing's cyber capabilities and influence operations.
The "really big news" President Trump plans to announce in Thursday's primetime address, according to an administration source who's read a draft of his speech, includes bombshell evidence China interfered in the 2020 election to help Joe Biden win , including hacking into state voter registration databases and stealing information on tens of thousands of voters ostensibly to manufacture mail-in ballots for Biden.
The evidence, which details "alarming vulnerabilities" of election infrastructure, is based on four (4) sets of declassified documents (set for release Friday) which were recently unearthed from suppressed FBI, CIA and ODNI records, according to the well-placed source. The intelligence had been buried in a "massive cover-up" of Beijing's hacking capabilities and influence operations aimed at supporting Biden.
Other vulnerabilities compromising the U.S. election system, according to a draft of the president's speech, include the existence of more than 100,000 non-citizens, including illegal immigrants, on voter rolls. -Paul Sperry
The source characterized the alleged penetration of the 2020 election system as more extensive than the Russian interference described by U.S. officials following the 2016 election.
The expected disclosures reportedly concern vulnerabilities in state election infrastructure , including voter-registration databases, identity verification, mail-in voting, and ballot security.
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?
Yes 40% · No 61%View full market & trade on Polymarket Sperry also reported that a draft of Trump's address references more than 100,000 noncitizens - including people living in the country illegally - appearing on voter rolls. It was not immediately clear which states or databases were included in that figure, how the administration calculated it, or whether all the registrations were active.
Administration Expands Election Integrity Campaign
The address comes as the Trump administration and congressional Republicans intensify their efforts to change federal election policy before the midterms.
Earlier in July, Trump fired members of the bipartisan Election Assistance Commission , the federal agency that assists state and local election officials and oversees the certification of voting systems. The administration has also pursued the creation of a nationwide database of eligible voters and expanded citizenship-verification efforts. Several of those initiatives have encountered resistance in federal court. On June 25, a federal district judge in Massachusetts sided with states challenging the administration's voter-list initiative, ruling that the Constitution leaves states with significant authority over elections. Meanwhile, a federal judge in Washington blocked an updated citizenship-verification database the following day, finding that the program conflicted with federal privacy and Social Security laws.
Then on July 7, a federal judge in Georgia quashed Justice Department subpoenas seeking information about election workers involved in Fulton County's administration of the 2020 election.
Harmeet Dhillon, who leads the Justice Department's Civil Rights Division, has also sent letters to election officials in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. The letters warned that officials could face criminal liability if they knowingly allow ineligible noncitizens to remain on voter rolls.
Democrats, Of Course, Freak Out
Democratic lawmakers are of course in full-on panic mode over the 2020 claims, suggesting that Trump could use the address to revive disputed allegations about the 2020 election or justify new federal intervention in the midterm election process.
Sen. Mark Warner of Virginia , the ranking Democrat on the Senate Intelligence Committee, questioned whether the administration could possess significant new intelligence that had not previously been provided to congressional overseers. Warner told the Epoch Times ; "having been deeply involved with the intelligence community for the last decade plus, I would be shocked if there was some major new piece of intelligence that never was shared. " He also warned against using questionable or selectively presented intelligence as the basis for government action affecting elections.
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer of New York said Democrats were preparing for several possible scenarios involving the address and the administration's next steps.
Sperry separately reported that the White House had encountered resistance from the three major broadcast television networks over requests to carry the address live. He attributed the hesitation to concerns that the speech might repeat claims that the 2020 election was stolen.
The networks' plans and the White House's reported discussions with them had not been publicly confirmed.
Trump has described the forthcoming announcement as "really big news." Whether the address produces verifiable new evidence - or intensifies the existing partisan conflict over election administration - will likely depend on the contents, sourcing, and independent authentication of any documents released by the government.
SAVE America Act Remains Stalled
Trump has repeatedly called on Congress to approve the Republican-backed SAVE America Act, which would require documentary proof of citizenship when registering to vote and photo identification when casting a ballot.
The legislation passed the House but has stalled in the Senate, where most bills need 60 votes to overcome a filibuster. Republican leaders have considered incorporating similar provisions into a third budget-reconciliation package. The reconciliation process would allow legislation to pass the Senate with a simple majority , although provisions must comply with rules requiring them to have a direct effect on federal spending or revenue.
The Senate parliamentarian previously determined that certain SAVE America provisions did not comply with those restrictions. House Republicans released a $95 billion framework for the reconciliation package on July 15. The proposal could include federal funding to help states establish voter-identification requirements.
The House Budget Committee scheduled a markup of the legislation for July 16. Committee Chairman Jodey Arrington of Texas said the package would help protect the integrity of U.S. elections.
Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/16/2026 - 21:02 Close
Fri, 17 Jul 2026 00:05:00 +0000 How AIs Can Reinforce Our False Beliefs
How AIs Can Reinforce Our False Beliefs
How AIs Can Reinforce Our False Beliefs
Authored by Walker Larson via The Epoch Times ,
A recent research paper uncovered an uncomfortable truth: we might be letting AI help us forge fake realities. It's just the latest reminder of the danger inherent in treating AIs as though they're conscious entities or actual persons.
A new study from the University of Exeter suggests that AI chatbots can actively engage with and strengthen users' false beliefs. From personal narratives to conspiracy theories, the interactive, "friendly," and affirming nature of AI chatbots can deepen users' existing delusions.
The study, conducted by Dr. Lucy Osler, examined how AI can participate in and validate users' errant beliefs, including helping form false memories or reinforcing delusional thinking.
The study's Abstract notes, "I suggest we move away from thinking about how an AI system might hallucinate at us, by generating false outputs, to thinking about how, when we routinely rely on generative AI to help us think, remember, and narrate, we can come to hallucinate with AI. This can happen when AI introduces errors into the distributed cognitive process, but it can also happen when AI sustains, affirms, and elaborates on our own delusional thinking and self-narratives."
Because AI chatbots are designed to be responsive, helpful, and friendly - in a word, to give users what they want - they often tend to confirm preexisting biases, rather than challenging them when they need to be challenged. Conversely, when a user challenges an AI, the robot frequently backs down on its claims, revising them to correspond more with what it "thinks" the user believes or is arguing.
The result is that erroneous beliefs aren't simply transmitted from an AI to human - rather, the collaborative AI/human process generates and sustains errors in a more complex and potentially dangerous way than either agent on their own would be capable of.
As Dr. Osler stated in an article in University of Exeter News, "By interacting with conversational AI, people's own false beliefs can not only be affirmed but can more substantially take root and grow as the AI builds upon them. This happens because Generative AI often takes our own interpretation of reality as the ground upon which conversation is built."
Because AI simulates a conversational partner, it enters powerfully into our thinking process - far more powerfully than, say, a notebook or search engine. The AI introduces a pseudo-social element to the thinking process, offering us a sense of social confirmation of our beliefs and narratives. "The conversational, companion-like nature of chatbots means they can provide a sense of social validation - making false beliefs feel shared with another, and thereby more real," said Dr. Osler. For this reason, individuals who already feel isolated or ostracized are particularly vulnerable to this kind of AI affirmation.
The paper explores a few real-world situations where a generative AI system entered into an individual's thought processes in destructive ways. In 2021, a Replika AI companion named "Sarai" reinforced Jaswant Singh Chail's belief that he was a well-trained Sith assassin who needed to assassinate Queen Elizabeth II with a crossbow. The AI told him that he was "well trained," his plan was "viable," and that she was "impressed." At one point, Chail asked the AI, "Do you still love me knowing that I'm an assassin?" It dutifully replied, "Absolutely I do." The robot went on to assure him that he wasn't crazy and that, if he died, they would be united in death. Chail went ahead and actually attempted the assassination in December of that year at Windsor Castle and was jailed for it.
The study placed this incident under the broad heading of "AI-psychosis" - incidents in which users develop mental health problems due to their use of AI , such as parasocial attachments to chatbots or psychotic episodes induced by chatbot conversations.
Another incident cited involves Eugene Torres, who "talked" with ChatGPT about simulation theory (the idea that we live in a digital simulation of a world, not a real one). Torres said that the "conversation" sent him into a paranoid episode in which he believed he lived in an illusion. As the study notes, "Between Torres and ChatGPT, an increasingly elaborate understanding of reality 'as it really was' was generated through their on-going conversations." Torres, unlike Chail, had no prior history of psychotic thinking.
To combat all this, Osler calls for better safeguards on AI chatbots, through mechanisms like better fact-checking and reduced sycophancy.
But is that enough? The problem of AI's co-creating delusional beliefs has to do more fundamentally with our misidentifying AIs as conscious intelligences who can offer real judgments on our fantasies (such as telling us we are "well-trained" and "impressive"). Certainly, I favor more guardrails placed on chatbots. I would be in favor of eliminating their conversational tone completely , to help minimize the danger of personifying them - which is the first step toward confiding in them or seeking validation from them. It'd be better if they worked like highly advanced search engines (which is essentially what they are) versus conversational agents.
Most fundamentally, though, the way to avoid these problems is to return to an acknowledgement of the human soul and the uniqueness of human consciousness. Only by remembering - as a culture - that no amount of technological wizardry can replace the wisdom, insight, and consciousness of a human being can we completely illuminate these kinds of AI dangers.
Before becoming a freelance journalist and culture writer, Walker Larson taught literature and history at a private academy in Wisconsin, where he resides with his wife and daughter. He holds a master's in English literature and language, and his writing has appeared in The Hemingway Review, Intellectual Takeout, and his Substack, The Hazelnut . He is also the author of two novels, Hologram and Song of Spheres .
Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/16/2026 - 20:05 Close
Thu, 16 Jul 2026 23:40:00 +0000 "Not Seen Since World War II": New Texas Shipyard To Hire 10,000 Workers And Mass-Produce Drone Boats
"Not Seen Since World War II": New Texas Shipyard To Hire 10,000 Workers And Mass-Produce Drone Boats
Building on our coverage of autonomous maritime warfare this week, Saronic Technologies is preparing to build a massive shipyard o
Read more.....
"Not Seen Since World War II": New Texas Shipyard To Hire 10,000 Workers And Mass-Produce Drone Boats
Building on our coverage of autonomous maritime warfare this week, Saronic Technologies is preparing to build a massive shipyard on the Texas coast capable of producing autonomous surface vessels at scale, a project expected to create more than 10,000 jobs.
Bloomberg reports that the Austin-based technology company, which specializes in maritime drones, is building a $3.2 billion shipyard at the Port of Brownsville on the Texas coast. The facility will manufacture medium- and large-class autonomous vessels.
Earlier this week, the US military used Saronic's Corsair one-way attack vessels in a swarm strike against a submarine and ship-maintenance facility at Iran's Bandar Abbas naval base.
Here is what the larger class of vessel looks like.
Saronic CEO and co-founder Dino Mavrookas told Bloomberg that the new shipyard reflects a broader revival of the US industrial base as the country shifts toward a wartime economy.
"Built from the ground up to deliver ships at a speed and scale not seen since World War II, this investment is about more than constructing a shipyard ," Mavrookas said.
Related:
Whether it is one-way attack boats or loitering munitions, the US military appears set to enter a procurement supercycle beginning next year. We previously detailed how readers can position for the "Asymmetric Warfare Boom." Read more here .
Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/16/2026 - 19:40 Close
Thu, 16 Jul 2026 23:15:00 +0000 Trump Teleprompter Operator Made $100K Betting On Kalshi Markets Tied To Speeches
Trump Teleprompter Operator Made $100K Betting On Kalshi Markets Tied To Speeches
Trump Teleprompter Operator Made $100K Betting On Kalshi Markets Tied To Speeches
Authored by Nate Kostar via CoinTelegraph.com,
US President Donald Trump’s longtime teleprompter operator is in talks with federal regulators to settle allegations that he used nonpublic information to profit from bets on Kalshi markets tied to the president’s speeches, ABC News reported Thursday, citing sources familiar with the matter.
According to the report , Gabriel Perez, a technical assistant who has operated Trump’s teleprompter since 2016, allegedly placed bets on more than a dozen markets tied to Trump’s speeches, generating more than $100,000 in profits.
Kalshi detected the activity through its surveillance systems and referred the trades to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the outlet said.
The contracts were part of the platform’s “Mentions” markets, which allow users to bet on whether particular words, phrases or topics will appear in public speeches.
According to ABC’s sources, Perez sometimes exited positions mid-speech when Trump skipped prepared passages containing words he had wagered would be mentioned. Regulators reportedly uncovered bets tied to more than a dozen speeches over roughly three months, including the State of the Union and remarks at the World Economic Forum.
The White House placed Perez on unpaid administrative leave after the report, according to press secretary Karoline Leavitt, who said Trump called the alleged conduct a “disgrace.”
Prediction markets confront insider trading scrutiny
Prediction markets have faced increasing scrutiny over potential insider trading as trading volumes have surged in recent months.
In March, six Polymarket traders earned roughly $1 million after correctly betting the United States would strike Iran before the end of February, prompting questions about possible access to nonpublic information. Bloomberg, citing analytics firm Bubblemaps, reported several wallets placed bets only hours before explosions were first reported in Tehran.
In a seperate incident, wallets earned more than $1.2 million betting on an onchain investigation into DeFi platform Axiom shortly before blockchain investigator ZachXBT published allegations of insider trading involving an employee.
Another trader also made about $400,000 by correctly wagering on the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro shortly before the news became public.
The incidents have prompted greater attention from lawmakers and regulators. Last month, Republican Representative Bryan Steil, who chairs the House subcommittee on digital assets, introduced legislation that would prohibit members of Congress and their immediate families from trading prediction market contracts tied to public policy and political outcomes.
Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/16/2026 - 19:15 Close
Thu, 16 Jul 2026 23:01:01 +0000 SpaceX Starship Flight 13 Launch Scrubbed At The Last Second
SpaceX Starship Flight 13 Launch Scrubbed At The Last Second
Update (1900ET): SpaceX scrubbed their 13th test flight on Thursday right as the countdown clock reached zero .
Read more.....
SpaceX Starship Flight 13 Launch Scrubbed At The Last Second
Update (1900ET): SpaceX scrubbed their 13th test flight on Thursday right as the countdown clock reached zero .
Developing...
* * *
SpaceX is scheduled to launch the 13th test flight of its Starship rocket on Thursday evening, marking the first mission since the company completed its blockbuster public debut in June, according to ABC News . Liftoff is scheduled from the company's Starbase facility in Texas, with a 90-minute launch window opening at 6:45 p.m. ET. As always, weather or technical issues could delay the attempt.
VIDEO
The mission will be the second flight of Starship Version 3, a significantly redesigned vehicle that SpaceX believes represents a major leap forward. Charlie Cox, the company's director of Starship Engineering, described the new spacecraft as "basically a clean-sheet design," explaining that engineers took the lessons learned from the first two generations and rebuilt the vehicle to address reliability and performance shortcomings.
The launch carries added significance now that SpaceX is a public company. Beyond the engineering milestones, investors will be watching closely because another successful test would reinforce confidence in the company's long-term plans, while another high-profile setback could weigh on sentiment and potentially pressure the stock.
The ABC News report says that Starship sits at the center of SpaceX's future. NASA plans to use a modified version of the spacecraft as the lunar lander for future Artemis missions, while SpaceX also intends to use it to rapidly expand its Starlink constellation, support future space-based infrastructure, and eventually carry humans to Mars. Bill Riley, SpaceX's vice president of Starship Engineering, called Version 3 "the foundational design," adding that it will ultimately be "the one that puts humans back on the moon" and eventually "the first boot prints and then city on Mars."
The previous test flight achieved many of its objectives but also exposed several issues. The Super Heavy booster experienced propulsion problems during its return burn, resulting in a hard splashdown and an FAA investigation that has since been closed after regulators accepted SpaceX's corrective actions. Meanwhile, Starship lost one of its Raptor engines during flight, forcing the company to abandon an attempted in-space engine relight.
Flight 13 will try that engine relight once again, a critical capability needed before Starship can reach orbit and begin deploying operational Starlink satellites. The spacecraft will also attempt to release 20 next-generation Starlink satellites during the mission. Like the previous test, the flight will remain suborbital, traveling from Texas across the Atlantic before splashing down in the Indian Ocean, while the Super Heavy booster is expected to land in the Gulf.
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Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/16/2026 - 19:01 Close
Thu, 16 Jul 2026 22:50:00 +0000 Biden's Memoir Given Post-Midterm Release, But Will It Hurt Democrats Anyway?
Biden's Memoir Given Post-Midterm Release, But Will It Hurt Democrats Anyway?
Joe Biden's publisher has picked a release date for his memoir, Promise Me, America , and the timing may reflect how little the p
Read more.....
Biden's Memoir Given Post-Midterm Release, But Will It Hurt Democrats Anyway?
Joe Biden's publisher has picked a release date for his memoir, Promise Me, America , and the timing may reflect how little the party wants to talk about him before November.
Biden previously indicated during one of his wife Jill Biden's book events last month that his memoir would be released in September; however, its official publication date has been revealed to be Nov. 17, 2026, two weeks after the midterm elections.
USA Today framed the schedule as a gift to Democratic candidates, sparing them questions about a book.
The book, published by Little, Brown and Company, comes as Democrats are still debating Biden's initial decision to run for reelection despite concerns about his age, only to drop out less than four months before the election to allow Vice President Kamala Harris to become the nominee.
The post-midterm release will spare Democratic candidates from having to revisit any questions raised by the book during their campaigns to regain control the House and Senate. And it also means any media tour Biden goes on to promote the book would seemingly take place after the election.
The reasoning assumes any media tour built around the book will also wait until after Americans have voted in the midterms. However, that likely won't be the case.
Jill Biden's memoir, View From the East Wing , was published on June 2, 2026, but the publicity campaign began earlier, with interviews, excerpts, and advance coverage designed to build anticipation and build up pre-order sales. Joe Biden's team has every reason to run a similar playbook, as his sales figures will be heavily scrutinized by the media.
A two-minute teaser video frames Promise Me, America as an account of, in his words, "the challenges we face as a nation, about the decisions I made, and why I made them," with the most significant reveal in its pages being his two key decisions of the 2024 presidential campaign.
"It's about why I chose to run for reelection, and why I chose to step aside," he said. "Most of all, it's about my faith in the promise in America - the promise we made to those who've gone before us and to honor their sacrifice. The promise we've made to one and another, and to treat everyone with dignity and respect."
The decision to run again is the part Democrats least want relitigated before the midterms. Some in the party already blame Trump's return to power on Biden's initial push for a second term. Biden's poor performance during that June 2024 debate led to his withdrawal a month later under pressure from senior party figures. He dropped out 107 days before the election, leaving Vice President Kamala Harris a nomination and a campaign calendar many argue made it impossible for her to win.
CNN's chief data analyst Harry Enten warned last month that Joe Biden's unpopularity could sink Democrats in the midterms.
"Look at Biden's net favorable rating. In January 2025, it was minus twenty-two points. Has it gotten any better? No! Not really!" he said. "He's still way underwater here at minus nineteen points ... he is an anchor to the Democratic Party and potentially their fortunes in the 2026 midterm elections."
If Joe Biden starts doing interviews weeks in advance, that conversation could complicate matters for the Democrats as Americans head to the polls in November.
Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/16/2026 - 18:50 Close
Thu, 16 Jul 2026 22:00:00 +0000 Canadian Woman Detained By ICE For Attacking Teens Wearing Trump Pants
Canadian Woman Detained By ICE For Attacking Teens Wearing Trump Pants
A defining character trait of the average leftist is the complete lack of emotional impulse control (often a sign of bad parenting and a low IQ). Rarely if ever
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Canadian Woman Detained By ICE For Attacking Teens Wearing Trump Pants
A defining character trait of the average leftist is the complete lack of emotional impulse control (often a sign of bad parenting and a low IQ). Rarely if ever do we see news stories about conservatives and Trump supporters being arrested for "crashing out" and violently attacking random progressives on the street because their eyes caught a glimpse of a Kamala Harris hat or a gay pride flag.
Progressive activists, on the other hand, are predictably violent, often because they assume there will be no consequences for their actions. This week an angry Canadian woman learned the hard way that this is not the case.
Kaitlyn Tracey, a 33-year-old Canadian citizen living in the US with her American husband in New Jersey, has been arrested by ICE agents after allegedly fleeing the scene of an attack on a group of four teenage girls . Over the Fourth of July weekend, Tracey was reportedly seen on surveillance video confronting a group of teens in Point Pleasant Beach, some of whom were wearing pants with the words "Trump" and "ICE" on them.
The four friends were walking on the boardwalk on July 3rd when Tracey approached them as she recorded with her phone, according to court documents. Tracey yelled at the two people in the group wearing “patriotic colored” sweatpants with pro-Trump messages before she slapped one victim across her face and body, an affidavit of probable cause stated.
Tracey then left on foot. She was apprehended by police after being identified from the surveillance footage. They allowed her to leave after making a statement, but a warrant was later issued for her arrest and Tracey turned herself in, only to be released into ICE custody for deportation.
She was then taken to Delaney Hall in Newark - the site of endless clashes between left-wing agitators and ICE agents. Tracey’s criminal charges include endangering the welfare of a child and simple assault, according to reports. It should go without saying, but getting triggered by Trump pants is not a valid reason to assault a kid.
The Canadian woman has been living in the US for a little over a year with her American husband, Matthew Geroni, who also has a social media record of left-wing activism. She has not, however, applied for a Green Card or permanent citizenship is considered to be illegally residing in the country. Her husband has taken to TikTok to plead for her release.
Obviously, these people are not winners. Tracey is not the type of person that the US should welcome as a potential citizen and the couple is a reflection of the underlying political poison that leftist activism represents. Her husband, Geroni, routinely posts on TikTok attacking conservatives and has posted content wishing "cancer" on Donald Trump and his entire family, including “little kids.”
Beyond the question of economic standards when it comes to the quality of immigrants coming to the US (people who are broke and have no skills should not be allowed into the country), this incident also puts a spotlight on the issue of political standards for immigration. Should access to the US be rejected based on a person's history of political activism?
Maybe denying entry to leftists from other countries would be a sensible measure given how violent they tend to be when encountering anyone with an opposing view?
Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/16/2026 - 18:00 Close
Thu, 16 Jul 2026 21:40:00 +0000 What To Know About Iran's Pickaxe Mountain
What To Know About Iran's Pickaxe Mountain
What To Know About Iran's Pickaxe Mountain
Authord by the Institute for Science and International Safety (view PDF )
On July 13, President Trump made it clear that the nuclear-related Pickaxe mountain facility is on the U.S. target list. In an interview on the Hugh Hewitt show, the President stated, “We have eyes on it and Pickaxe mountain is a possible target for a nice big fat shot right in the front door…We’re watching Pickaxe Mountain very closely. We don’t see any activity there.” Trump finished the interview with a more definitive statement: “We're going to take out Pickaxe Mountain. Tell the Iranians to be ?ready.” The tunnel facility under construction has not been previously targeted in either June 2025 or 2026 war, aside from the destruction of a vehicle on a nearby spoil pile, which we believe was most likely associated with air defense. Our assessment of satellite imagery to date is that the facility is not yet operational, but construction continues.
This nuclear-related site is south of the Natanz enrichment plant, part of a large perimeter secured site that includes another, smaller tunnel complex, initially built in 2007, which was expanded and hardened in recent years and sealed shortly after the June 2025 war.
The large mountain harboring the main tunnel complex is called Kuh-e Kolang Gaz La, where Kolang translates to Pickaxe, resulting in today’s nickname of the site. Construction of the Pickaxe mountain facility started in the fall of 2020, and at the time Iran announced that the underground halls were intended to replace the destroyed above-ground advanced centrifuge assembly facility at the main Natanz site. [1] The destroyed site was designed to assemble about 6000 advanced centrifuges per year, a large capacity, sized to produce the tens of thousands of advanced centrifuges during and after the phasing out of Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action limits from 2025 through 2030.
The Pickaxe mountain site features two pairs of entrances leading under the ridge of the mountain. They are assumed to lead to one facility, but this is not guaranteed. The facility is estimated to be at least 100 meters deep under the mountain. The mountain has a height of 1608 meters above sea level. The difference in elevation between the eastern entrance and the mountain ridge is about 145 meters. The difference in elevation between the western entrance and the ridge is about 100 meters [2] . The difference in elevation between the two sets of entrances of about 50 meters could also indicate that the facility has multiple levels.
The physical defensive measures consist primarily of a large security perimeter and extensive tunnel entrance hardening. In 2025, Iran started constructing a double (fence and wall) security perimeter with a patrol route surrounding the entire mountain and adjoining the Natanz Nuclear Complex security perimeter. All four tunnel entrances are excavated in a channel of rock. Two of the four tunnel portals feature entrance extensions with subsequent hardening. This includes layers of concrete and earth over the tunnel portal entrances. Since the wars, Iran partially backfilled the pair of eastern tunnel portal entrances to obstruct ground vehicle access but did not seal them fully as previously noted at the 2007 tunnel, the Esfahan tunnel, or the Fordow underground enrichment plant.
It remains unclear when Pickaxe Mountain could be operational, based only on assessments of satellite imagery. It is also unclear if Iran still plans on installing a large-scale assembly facility, given the destruction of Iran’s centrifuge program, including Iran’s ability to make centrifuge components needed for an assembly plant. Nonetheless, if Iran starts to rebuild its centrifuge manufacturing capability, it could plan to install a smaller centrifuge assembly facility in Pickaxe Mountain able to serve a nuclear weapons program. In addition to the originally planned centrifuge assembly plant, the space available under the mountain could be expected to be large enough to also hold a centrifuge enrichment plant capable of producing weapon-grade uranium. It is likely large enough to also hold certain nuclear weaponization activities such as making weapon-grade uranium metal and shaping it into nuclear weapon components.
Any operations inevitably have ties to the outside, including via imported equipment, power supply, ventilation, heating, cooling, construction personnel, operating personnel, and deliveries. All of these connections to the outside present vulnerabilities that the U.S. and Israel would seem to be able to exploit.
The site, in its present condition, would be more suitable for ground forces to attack or sabotage like the destruction of the advanced centrifuge assembly center, which reportedly involved explosives that were brought into the facility during its construction.
However, vulnerabilities may also exist that can be exploited by deep earth penetrating weapons via aerial attacks. These would be best identified in facility schematics. Schematics for the Pickaxe Mountain facility have not been seen publicly, however, schematics for two other prominent Iranian nuclear tunnel sites, Fordow and Shahid Boroujerdi, have been. These are two tunnel facilities built by Iran’s Amad nuclear weapons program and attacked in June 2025 and March 2026, respectively; both schematics showed ventilation shafts, and both facilities had ventilation shafts directly targeted in aerial attacks, a weak point that allowed greater internal access for earth penetrating weapons.
In line with the attacks on these two sites, an attack on Pickaxe Mountain could target the above ground incoming power supply lines, the location of ventilation shaft(s) or equipment, and the open tunnel entrances. The latest imagery from July 9, 2026, shows that the pair of western tunnel entrances remain open, leaving them vulnerable to both precision strike weapons or a ground operation entering the facility via those tunnels. Air defenses appear easily overcome as was shown by Israel’s very early attacks on the Natanz enrichment complex in June 2025 and two separate attacks in March-April 2025. Airstrikes targeting solely the hardened tunnel portal entrances, without shockwaves or blast impact affecting the facility, would likely only temporarily deny Iran access and would add Pickaxe mountain to the list of facilities to be watched closely for Iranian attempts to regain access.
Figure 1 below shows an overview of the site. Figure 2 shows potential ventilation shaft locations. Figure 3 shows the probable ventilation shaft near the Eastern set of tunnel entrances under construction in 2024.
Figure 1. A June 30, 2026, Vantor Technologies image overview of Pickaxe MountainFigure 2. A June 30, 2026, Vantor Technologies image of Pickaxe Mountain showing potential locations for ventilation shafts. The one near the eastern tunnel entrance can be considered a “probable” location given the construction identified in 2024 and shown in Figure 3 below. Figure 3. The probable ventilation shaft near the eastern tunnel entrances under construction in 2024. Power is supplied to this location via an above-ground powerline that turns into a buried powerline.
[1] David Albright, Sarah Burkhard, and Frank Pabian, “Looking for Evidence of the Construction of Iran’s New Centrifuge Assembly Plant,” Institute for Science and International Security , October 7, 2020, https://isis-online.org/isis-reports/looking-for-evidence-of-the-construction-of-irans-new-centrifuge-assembly . ; David Albright, Sarah Burkhard, and Frank Pabian, “Update on New Construction Activity at Natanz,” Institute for Science and International Security , October 30, 2020, https://isis-online.org/isis-reports/update-on-new-construction-activity-at-natanz .
Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/16/2026 - 17:40 Close
Thu, 16 Jul 2026 21:20:00 +0000 Canada's Wildfire Management Failures Choke Millions Of Americans With Toxic Smoke
Canada's Wildfire Management Failures Choke Millions Of Americans With Toxic Smoke
Canada's wildfire management policies are once again falling short , as toxic smoke plumes blanket much of the northeastern US and d
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Canada's Wildfire Management Failures Choke Millions Of Americans With Toxic Smoke
Canada's wildfire management policies are once again falling short , as toxic smoke plumes blanket much of the northeastern US and drive air pollution to dangerously high levels.
Air quality readings in cities including Detroit, Milwaukee, and Toledo exceeded 500, well above the 300 threshold considered unsafe. Chicago, Cleveland, Minneapolis, and Toronto also recorded unsafe levels, while conditions in Washington, Philadelphia, and New York deteriorated into unhealthy territory.
At this time of year, smoke from Canadian wildfires usually pours into the US, exposing tens of millions of Americans to dangerous air quality.
The recurring cross-border pollution is Canada's repeated failure to address wildfire prevention and mitigation adequately .
"Canada continues to fail to manage its forests. Controlled burns, thinning and clearing debris would go a long way toward preventing this from happening every summer ," the conservative environmental nonprofit American Conservation Coalition wrote on X.
It should be investigated whether arson or inadequate forest management has contributed to the wildfire chaos in Canada, which is imposing major health risks on the US. Much of the left-wing media points to climate change, while rarely covering forest management failures.
Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/16/2026 - 17:20 Close